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Market Update Aug 14, 2026

CPI Cools Fed Expectations, Gold Retreats from $4,450, Oil Holds Near $81, ASX Extends DeclineExecutive SummaryUS inflation data met expectations, cooling Fed rate hike expectations and sending the September probability down to ~40%. Gold pulled back from a two-month high of $4,450, while the dollar remained steady near 100. Oil held near $81 as geopolitical risks and demand concerns kept prices in a tight range. Asian equities were mixed, with the ASX200 extending losses as RBA officials reaffirmed the need to maintain tight monetary policy.US Dollar – Steady Near 100, Hovering Below Key MAsDXY trades near 99.80-100.05. July CPI rose 3.4% (down from 3.5%), while core CPI rose 2.5% (down from 2.6%). September Fed hike odds dropped from 55% to 40%. The dollar has lost both the 20-day (100.45) and 50-day (100.51) moving averages, now holding only above the 100-day MA at 99.75. RSI at 43.23 suggests further downside room remains.Key levels: Support 99.75–99.17; Resistance 100.45–100.51.Outlook: Bearish short-term. PPI data tonight will set direction.USD/JPY – Hovering Near 159.40, Intervention Risk LoomsUSD/JPY trades near 159.40, with US-Japan intervention remaining a key risk. The 160.00 psychological level is a critical threshold – a break above could trigger fresh intervention. The 200-day MA at 158.19 serves as key support. Finance Minister Katayama confirmed US-Japan coordinated intervention, with Trump calling it a "signal of friendship."Key levels: Support 159.00–158.19; Resistance 160.00–160.70.Outlook: Neutral to bearish. Intervention risk elevated.WTI Crude – Holding Near $81WTI crude trades near $80.30-81.00/bbl. US missile strikes on oil tankers escalated tensions, while Pakistan continues mediation efforts. US ammunition shortages limit the potential for major military escalation. Prices remain caught between geopolitical risks and weak demand fundamentals.Key levels: Support $80.00–$78.66; Resistance $83.98–$85.00.Outlook: Neutral. Watch geopolitical headlines closely.Gold – Pulls Back from $4,450Gold trades near $4,338-4,345/oz, retreating after hitting $4,450. The CPI data was supportive for gold (lower Fed hike odds), but the metal had already priced in much of the move, leading to profit-taking. The $4,500 level – which also coincides with the 200-day MA at $4,503 – remains a strong psychological barrier.Key levels: Support $4,300–$4,250–$4,231; Resistance $4,435–$4,500.Outlook: Neutral to bearish short-term. Needs to hold $4,300 to maintain upward momentum.ASX200 – Extends Losses as Hawkish RBA Signals WeighASX200 fell 0.2% to 9,188, its second consecutive decline. RBA Assistant Governor Kent reaffirmed the need to maintain tight monetary policy to curb inflation. China signaled no major stimulus, weighing on materials stocks. Utilities (+2.78%) and tech (+0.85%) outperformed.Key levels: Support 9,150–9,040; Resistance 9,250–9,300.Outlook: Short-term pullback, medium-term trend remains positive.NZX50 – Rebounds 0.6%NZX50 rose 0.6% to 13,825, recovering from a two-day decline. Q3 inflation expectations fell to 2.34%, reducing RBNZ rate hike expectations. Banks and consumer stocks led gains.Key levels: Support 13,737–13,700; Resistance 14,012.Outlook: Technical recovery, medium-term trend remains positive.Key Events Today (August 14) – IMPORTANTTime (AEST)EventNotes19:00UK GDP (Q2)Expected to show slower growth22:30US Producer Price Index (Jul)Wholesale inflation data22:30US Initial Jobless ClaimsWeekly unemployment dataCurrency Pairs – Key LevelsEUR/USD: 1.1516–1.1530 – Hỗ trợ 1.1500–1.1464; Kháng cự 1.1566–1.1620GBP/USD: 1.3485–1.3500 – Hỗ trợ 1.3480–1.3415; Kháng cự 1.3550–1.3560AUD/USD: 0.7046–0.7050 – Hỗ trợ 0.7016–0.7000; Kháng cự 0.7091–0.7100USD/JPY: 159.40–159.60 – Hỗ trợ 159.00–158.19; Kháng cự 160.00–160.70DXY: Bearish short-term below 100.45Gold: Correcting from highs, needs to hold $4,300Oil: Range-bound, geopolitical-drivenUSD/JPY: Intervention risk at 160ASX200: Pullback, medium-term positiveNZX50: Recovering, medium-term positiveTrade with caution. Use BCR's Economic Calendar to stay ahead of key data releases.BCR – Bridge The Difference#thebcr #bcrTrading #bcrGlobal

2026-08-14 15:33

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FIB RSI Long Setup.

When trading with the trend, one of the most effective strategies you can master is combining Fibonacci retracement levels with momentum indicators like the RSI. This setup isn't about chasing the market or guessing tops and bottoms; it's about exercising patience and letting high-probability opportunities come directly to you. Understanding the Setup To build this setup, start by identifying a clear, established uptrend. Draw your Fibonacci retracement tool from the dominant swing low straight to the recent swing high. Instead of jumping in blindly as price drops, wait for a pull-back into a strong key support zone—specifically targeting the 50% retracement level. This level frequently acts as a solid floor where buyers step back into the market. Confirming with Momentum & Managing Risk Price reaching a key Fib level is only half the battle; you need momentum on your side to confirm the move. This is where the RSI (14) plays a crucial role. Wait for the RSI to dip into oversold territory (below 30) and look for it to curl upward. An oversold reading alone isn't an automatic buy signal—the edge comes when RSI turns up, showing that buyers are actively resuming control. Finally, never execute a trade without clear risk parameters. Place your stop-loss just below the 61.8% Fib level or the recent local swing low to protect your capital if the trend fails. By stacking Fibonacci support, RSI momentum confirmation, and strict risk management, you turn a simple pull-back into a structured, reliable long setup.

2026-08-13 15:31 United Kingdom

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Types of Trading....

Scalping Scalping is an ultra-short-term trading strategy where traders execute tens to hundreds of trades a day to capture tiny price movements. Positions are held for seconds or minutes, aiming to accumulate frequent small profits while minimizing exposure to market risk. It demands constant focus, rapid decision-making, and disciplined risk management to prevent a single loss from wiping out multiple gains. ​Day Trading Day trading involves buying and selling financial instruments within the exact same trading day to capitalize on short-term price volatility. All positions are closed before the market shuts, eliminating the risk of overnight gap downs or unexpected news movements. Day traders rely heavily on technical analysis, chart patterns, and intraday momentum to execute multiple trades throughout the session. ​Swing Trading Swing trading focuses on capturing medium-term price trends or "swings" over a timeframe of several days to a few weeks. Traders utilize a combination of technical analysis and fundamental catalysts to identify asset momentum at key support or resistance levels. Because positions are held overnight, swing traders accept overnight market risk in exchange for larger per-trade profit targets compared to day trading. ​Position Trading Position trading is a long-term approach where traders hold positions for several months to years, ignoring short-term market noise in favor of broad macroeconomic trends. It relies predominantly on fundamental analysis, company earnings, and macroeconomic indicators rather than minute-to-minute price charts. This strategy requires patience, higher capital reserves to endure drawdown periods, and larger stop-loss ranges. ​Intraday Trading Intraday trading is a broader classification encompassing all trading strategies—including scalping and standard day trading—where positions are opened and settled within a single day's trading hours. The core rule is zero overnight holding, protecting capital from unexpected after-hours market shifts or global news. Traders leverage high-frequency charts, liquidity, and leverage to turn small intraday price fluctuations into daily financial results.

2026-08-11 20:18 United Kingdom

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IndustryMarket Update Aug 14, 2026

CPI Cools Fed Expectations, Gold Retreats from $4,450, Oil Holds Near $81, ASX Extends DeclineExecutive SummaryUS inflation data met expectations, cooling Fed rate hike expectations and sending the September probability down to ~40%. Gold pulled back from a two-month high of $4,450, while the dollar remained steady near 100. Oil held near $81 as geopolitical risks and demand concerns kept prices in a tight range. Asian equities were mixed, with the ASX200 extending losses as RBA officials reaffirmed the need to maintain tight monetary policy.US Dollar – Steady Near 100, Hovering Below Key MAsDXY trades near 99.80-100.05. July CPI rose 3.4% (down from 3.5%), while core CPI rose 2.5% (down from 2.6%). September Fed hike odds dropped from 55% to 40%. The dollar has lost both the 20-day (100.45) and 50-day (100.51) moving averages, now holding only above the 100-day MA at 99.75. RSI at 43.23 suggests further downside room remains.Key levels: Support 99.75–99.17; Resistance 100.45–100.51.Outlook: Bearish short-term. PPI data tonight will set direction.USD/JPY – Hovering Near 159.40, Intervention Risk LoomsUSD/JPY trades near 159.40, with US-Japan intervention remaining a key risk. The 160.00 psychological level is a critical threshold – a break above could trigger fresh intervention. The 200-day MA at 158.19 serves as key support. Finance Minister Katayama confirmed US-Japan coordinated intervention, with Trump calling it a "signal of friendship."Key levels: Support 159.00–158.19; Resistance 160.00–160.70.Outlook: Neutral to bearish. Intervention risk elevated.WTI Crude – Holding Near $81WTI crude trades near $80.30-81.00/bbl. US missile strikes on oil tankers escalated tensions, while Pakistan continues mediation efforts. US ammunition shortages limit the potential for major military escalation. Prices remain caught between geopolitical risks and weak demand fundamentals.Key levels: Support $80.00–$78.66; Resistance $83.98–$85.00.Outlook: Neutral. Watch geopolitical headlines closely.Gold – Pulls Back from $4,450Gold trades near $4,338-4,345/oz, retreating after hitting $4,450. The CPI data was supportive for gold (lower Fed hike odds), but the metal had already priced in much of the move, leading to profit-taking. The $4,500 level – which also coincides with the 200-day MA at $4,503 – remains a strong psychological barrier.Key levels: Support $4,300–$4,250–$4,231; Resistance $4,435–$4,500.Outlook: Neutral to bearish short-term. Needs to hold $4,300 to maintain upward momentum.ASX200 – Extends Losses as Hawkish RBA Signals WeighASX200 fell 0.2% to 9,188, its second consecutive decline. RBA Assistant Governor Kent reaffirmed the need to maintain tight monetary policy to curb inflation. China signaled no major stimulus, weighing on materials stocks. Utilities (+2.78%) and tech (+0.85%) outperformed.Key levels: Support 9,150–9,040; Resistance 9,250–9,300.Outlook: Short-term pullback, medium-term trend remains positive.NZX50 – Rebounds 0.6%NZX50 rose 0.6% to 13,825, recovering from a two-day decline. Q3 inflation expectations fell to 2.34%, reducing RBNZ rate hike expectations. Banks and consumer stocks led gains.Key levels: Support 13,737–13,700; Resistance 14,012.Outlook: Technical recovery, medium-term trend remains positive.Key Events Today (August 14) – IMPORTANTTime (AEST)EventNotes19:00UK GDP (Q2)Expected to show slower growth22:30US Producer Price Index (Jul)Wholesale inflation data22:30US Initial Jobless ClaimsWeekly unemployment dataCurrency Pairs – Key LevelsEUR/USD: 1.1516–1.1530 – Hỗ trợ 1.1500–1.1464; Kháng cự 1.1566–1.1620GBP/USD: 1.3485–1.3500 – Hỗ trợ 1.3480–1.3415; Kháng cự 1.3550–1.3560AUD/USD: 0.7046–0.7050 – Hỗ trợ 0.7016–0.7000; Kháng cự 0.7091–0.7100USD/JPY: 159.40–159.60 – Hỗ trợ 159.00–158.19; Kháng cự 160.00–160.70DXY: Bearish short-term below 100.45Gold: Correcting from highs, needs to hold $4,300Oil: Range-bound, geopolitical-drivenUSD/JPY: Intervention risk at 160ASX200: Pullback, medium-term positiveNZX50: Recovering, medium-term positiveTrade with caution. Use BCR's Economic Calendar to stay ahead of key data releases.BCR – Bridge The Difference#thebcr #bcrTrading #bcrGlobal

Richie Vo

2026-08-14 15:33

IndustryFIB RSI Long Setup.

When trading with the trend, one of the most effective strategies you can master is combining Fibonacci retracement levels with momentum indicators like the RSI. This setup isn't about chasing the market or guessing tops and bottoms; it's about exercising patience and letting high-probability opportunities come directly to you. Understanding the Setup To build this setup, start by identifying a clear, established uptrend. Draw your Fibonacci retracement tool from the dominant swing low straight to the recent swing high. Instead of jumping in blindly as price drops, wait for a pull-back into a strong key support zone—specifically targeting the 50% retracement level. This level frequently acts as a solid floor where buyers step back into the market. Confirming with Momentum & Managing Risk Price reaching a key Fib level is only half the battle; you need momentum on your side to confirm the move. This is where the RSI (14) plays a crucial role. Wait for the RSI to dip into oversold territory (below 30) and look for it to curl upward. An oversold reading alone isn't an automatic buy signal—the edge comes when RSI turns up, showing that buyers are actively resuming control. Finally, never execute a trade without clear risk parameters. Place your stop-loss just below the 61.8% Fib level or the recent local swing low to protect your capital if the trend fails. By stacking Fibonacci support, RSI momentum confirmation, and strict risk management, you turn a simple pull-back into a structured, reliable long setup.

ThexproLLC

2026-08-13 15:31

IndustryTypes of Trading....

Scalping Scalping is an ultra-short-term trading strategy where traders execute tens to hundreds of trades a day to capture tiny price movements. Positions are held for seconds or minutes, aiming to accumulate frequent small profits while minimizing exposure to market risk. It demands constant focus, rapid decision-making, and disciplined risk management to prevent a single loss from wiping out multiple gains. ​Day Trading Day trading involves buying and selling financial instruments within the exact same trading day to capitalize on short-term price volatility. All positions are closed before the market shuts, eliminating the risk of overnight gap downs or unexpected news movements. Day traders rely heavily on technical analysis, chart patterns, and intraday momentum to execute multiple trades throughout the session. ​Swing Trading Swing trading focuses on capturing medium-term price trends or "swings" over a timeframe of several days to a few weeks. Traders utilize a combination of technical analysis and fundamental catalysts to identify asset momentum at key support or resistance levels. Because positions are held overnight, swing traders accept overnight market risk in exchange for larger per-trade profit targets compared to day trading. ​Position Trading Position trading is a long-term approach where traders hold positions for several months to years, ignoring short-term market noise in favor of broad macroeconomic trends. It relies predominantly on fundamental analysis, company earnings, and macroeconomic indicators rather than minute-to-minute price charts. This strategy requires patience, higher capital reserves to endure drawdown periods, and larger stop-loss ranges. ​Intraday Trading Intraday trading is a broader classification encompassing all trading strategies—including scalping and standard day trading—where positions are opened and settled within a single day's trading hours. The core rule is zero overnight holding, protecting capital from unexpected after-hours market shifts or global news. Traders leverage high-frequency charts, liquidity, and leverage to turn small intraday price fluctuations into daily financial results.

ThexproLLC

2026-08-11 20:18

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