Mantey expects gold prices to climb in the first quarter of next year, exceeding $3500 per ounce (more than 9% higher than her previous estimate), and the average price will rise from $3175 per ounce to $3512 per ounce in 2026. As this forecast is raised, ING expects the Federal Reserve to significantly cut interest rates in the second half of 2025. #SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth#BrokerEvaluation#BrokerEvaluation#BrokerEvaluation

Mantey expects gold prices to climb in the first quarter of next year, exceeding $3500 per ounce (more than 9% higher than her previous estimate), and the average price will rise from $3175 per ounce to $3512 per ounce in 2026. As this forecast is raised, ING expects the Federal Reserve to significantly cut interest rates in the second half of 2025. #SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth#BrokerEvaluation#BrokerEvaluation#BrokerEvaluation

ING's commodity strategist Ewa Manthey raised her forecast for gold prices in her monthly gold report due to weakened momentum in the US labor market and persistent inflationary pressures. She now expects the average price of gold in the third and fourth quarters to be $3400 and $3450 per ounce, respectively, higher than her previous forecast of $3200 per ounce for these two quarters. #SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth#BrokerEvaluation#BrokerEvaluation

ING's commodity strategist Ewa Manthey raised her forecast for gold prices in her monthly gold report due to weakened momentum in the US labor market and persistent inflationary pressures. She now expects the average price of gold in the third and fourth quarters to be $3400 and $3450 per ounce, respectively, higher than her previous forecast of $3200 per ounce for these two quarters. #SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth#BrokerEvaluation#BrokerEvaluation

The gold price still has solid support above $3300, and ING stated that it is only a matter of time before the gold price breaks through consolidation and retests its record high. #SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth#BrokerEvaluation

The gold price still has solid support above $3300, and ING stated that it is only a matter of time before the gold price breaks through consolidation and retests its record high. #SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth#BrokerEvaluation

EUR/JPY: ECB/JPB Expectation Difference Carry trades are active when monetary policies diverge between the European and Japanese central banks. Trigger: Go long EUR/JPY when ECB rate hike expectations exceed the Bank of Japan by 50 basis points. Exit: Hold the position until one hour after the interest rate decision is announced. Example: In July 2023, the expectations gap was 62 basis points, and EUR/JPY rose from 155.80 to 158.40, resulting in a profit of 260 points. Monitoring tool: Implied probabilities of Eurozone OIS interest rate futures.#PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth

EUR/JPY: ECB/JPB Expectation Difference Carry trades are active when monetary policies diverge between the European and Japanese central banks. Trigger: Go long EUR/JPY when ECB rate hike expectations exceed the Bank of Japan by 50 basis points. Exit: Hold the position until one hour after the interest rate decision is announced. Example: In July 2023, the expectations gap was 62 basis points, and EUR/JPY rose from 155.80 to 158.40, resulting in a profit of 260 points. Monitoring tool: Implied probabilities of Eurozone OIS interest rate futures.#PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth

Gold-Silver Ratio Mean Reversion The historical mean of the gold-silver ratio is 68, and a deviation of ±15% will trigger a reversion. Strategy: Go long silver/short gold when the ratio is >78, and reverse when it is <58. Parameter: Close the position upon a return to 70. Example: In February 2024, the gold-silver ratio reached 82, and the long-silver-short-gold portfolio gained 13% in two weeks. Risk Management: One-way exposure ≤ 3% of total capital.#PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth

Gold-Silver Ratio Mean Reversion The historical mean of the gold-silver ratio is 68, and a deviation of ±15% will trigger a reversion. Strategy: Go long silver/short gold when the ratio is >78, and reverse when it is <58. Parameter: Close the position upon a return to 70. Example: In February 2024, the gold-silver ratio reached 82, and the long-silver-short-gold portfolio gained 13% in two weeks. Risk Management: One-way exposure ≤ 3% of total capital.#PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth

Parameters: Stop-loss of 1%, take-profit of 3%. Case study: On March 11, 2024, iron ore broke above $130, and on March 14, AUD/USD rose from 0.6520 to 0.6720, resulting in a profit of 200 pips. Exclusions: Disabled when the Australian unemployment rate is above 5.5%.#PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth

Parameters: Stop-loss of 1%, take-profit of 3%. Case study: On March 11, 2024, iron ore broke above $130, and on March 14, AUD/USD rose from 0.6520 to 0.6720, resulting in a profit of 200 pips. Exclusions: Disabled when the Australian unemployment rate is above 5.5%.#PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth

AUD/USD: Iron Ore-Australian Dollar Lagging Arbitrage The correlation coefficient between iron ore futures and the Australian dollar is 0.87, with a 3-day lag. #PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth

AUD/USD: Iron Ore-Australian Dollar Lagging Arbitrage The correlation coefficient between iron ore futures and the Australian dollar is 0.87, with a 3-day lag. #PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth

Crude oil fluctuations are transmitted to the Canadian dollar through the trade balance, with a 2-day lag. Strategy: Short USD/CAD when WTI breaks above its 20-day moving average +3%, with a stop-loss of 1% and a take-profit of 2%. Case study: On May 8, 2024, crude oil broke above $80, and two days later, USD/CAD fell from 1.3650 to 1.3520, resulting in a profit of 130 pips. Hedging: Simultaneously go long WTI futures to hedge against the risk of an oil price reversal.#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth#PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough

Crude oil fluctuations are transmitted to the Canadian dollar through the trade balance, with a 2-day lag. Strategy: Short USD/CAD when WTI breaks above its 20-day moving average +3%, with a stop-loss of 1% and a take-profit of 2%. Case study: On May 8, 2024, crude oil broke above $80, and two days later, USD/CAD fell from 1.3650 to 1.3520, resulting in a profit of 130 pips. Hedging: Simultaneously go long WTI futures to hedge against the risk of an oil price reversal.#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth#PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough

Example: On March 15, 2024, the Asian session saw prices between 1.2750 and 1.2780, and 18 minutes after breaking through 1.2783, the price surged to 1.2808. Filter: Disabled on Bank of England decision days, trading volume must be > 120% of daily average. #PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth

Example: On March 15, 2024, the Asian session saw prices between 1.2750 and 1.2780, and 18 minutes after breaking through 1.2783, the price surged to 1.2808. Filter: Disabled on Bank of England decision days, trading volume must be > 120% of daily average. #PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth

Volatility surged around the London fixing price (16:00 GMT). Strategy: Place a pending order at 15:45, breaking through the Asian session high or low by ±3 pips, with a stop-loss of 10 pips and a take-profit of 25 pips. #PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth

Volatility surged around the London fixing price (16:00 GMT). Strategy: Place a pending order at 15:45, breaking through the Asian session high or low by ±3 pips, with a stop-loss of 10 pips and a take-profit of 25 pips. #PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth

Example: On October 7, 2023, during the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, the gold price went from 1831 to 1867, resulting in a profit of $36/ounce. Data anchor: The maximum drawdown of gold during historical conflicts is less than 20% of the pulse amplitude.#PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth

Example: On October 7, 2023, during the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, the gold price went from 1831 to 1867, resulting in a profit of $36/ounce. Data anchor: The maximum drawdown of gold during historical conflicts is less than 20% of the pulse amplitude.#PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth

15 minutes after the conflict breaks out, and increase your position when the 30-minute ATR exceeds $2. Exit: Trailing stop (ATR*2) or forced liquidation after 36 hours.#PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth

15 minutes after the conflict breaks out, and increase your position when the 30-minute ATR exceeds $2. Exit: Trailing stop (ATR*2) or forced liquidation after 36 hours.#PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth

Adding to positions: After a 3% loss, reduce the amount of each increase by half. Example: Go long at 148.50 in January 2024 when the interest rate gap reached 4.2%. The price reached a high of 152.00 before the Bank of Japan intervened, resulting in a 350-pips profit. Taboos: Single position ≤ 2%, total exposure ≤ 6%.#PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth

Adding to positions: After a 3% loss, reduce the amount of each increase by half. Example: Go long at 148.50 in January 2024 when the interest rate gap reached 4.2%. The price reached a high of 152.00 before the Bank of Japan intervened, resulting in a 350-pips profit. Taboos: Single position ≤ 2%, total exposure ≤ 6%.#PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth

Go long USD/JPY when the 10-year US Treasury yield exceeds the Japanese bond yield by 2%, with a stop-loss of -50 pips. #PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth

Go long USD/JPY when the 10-year US Treasury yield exceeds the Japanese bond yield by 2%, with a stop-loss of -50 pips. #PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth

The widening US-Japan interest rate gap is suppressing the yen, but caution is warranted regarding central bank intervention.#PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth

The widening US-Japan interest rate gap is suppressing the yen, but caution is warranted regarding central bank intervention.#PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth

EUR/USD to initially fall to 1.0720 before rebounding to 1.0780 in 30 minutes, resulting in a 60-pips profit on the long position. Key: The strategy becomes ineffective if the unemployment rate deviation exceeds 0.5%.#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth#PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough

EUR/USD to initially fall to 1.0720 before rebounding to 1.0780 in 30 minutes, resulting in a 60-pips profit on the long position. Key: The strategy becomes ineffective if the unemployment rate deviation exceeds 0.5%.#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth#PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough

Parameters: Stop-loss 1.5%, take-profit 0.8%, and only trade in markets with fluctuations >50 pips. Example: On April 5, 2024, the non-farm payrolls exceeded #PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth

Parameters: Stop-loss 1.5%, take-profit 0.8%, and only trade in markets with fluctuations >50 pips. Example: On April 5, 2024, the non-farm payrolls exceeded #PathToAgentGrowthBreakthrough#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth

There's a 68% chance of a reverse move within 30 minutes of the non-farm payrolls release. Operation: 5 minutes after the data is released, if the price deviates from the 20-day moving average by more than 1%, enter a reverse position. #SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth

There's a 68% chance of a reverse move within 30 minutes of the non-farm payrolls release. Operation: 5 minutes after the data is released, if the price deviates from the 20-day moving average by more than 1%, enter a reverse position. #SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth

Non-Farm Payroll Reversal: Expectation Difference Trading The market often overreacts after the release of the non-farm payroll report, with a 68% probability of a reversal within 30 minutes. Strategy: 5 minutes after the release, if the price deviates from the 20-day#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth#BrokerEvaluation

Non-Farm Payroll Reversal: Expectation Difference Trading The market often overreacts after the release of the non-farm payroll report, with a 68% probability of a reversal within 30 minutes. Strategy: 5 minutes after the release, if the price deviates from the 20-day#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth#BrokerEvaluation

The implied volatility (IV) of options before major events is often higher than the realized volatility (RV). Strategy: Sell a EUR/USD straddle with a strike price of ±1% 24 hours before the CPI/Non-Farm Payrolls release. Parameters: Open the position when IV > RV + 3%, and close the position after the event. Case study: On April 10, 2024, IV reached 12.5% before the CPI (RV was only 9.2%). Sell a 1.0800/1.1000 straddle. Volatility fell to 8.1% after the event, resulting in a 62% premium gain. Risk control: Single position ≤ 5% of total funds.#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth#BrokerEvaluation

The implied volatility (IV) of options before major events is often higher than the realized volatility (RV). Strategy: Sell a EUR/USD straddle with a strike price of ±1% 24 hours before the CPI/Non-Farm Payrolls release. Parameters: Open the position when IV > RV + 3%, and close the position after the event. Case study: On April 10, 2024, IV reached 12.5% before the CPI (RV was only 9.2%). Sell a 1.0800/1.1000 straddle. Volatility fell to 8.1% after the event, resulting in a 62% premium gain. Risk control: Single position ≤ 5% of total funds.#SharingTradingMistakesAndGrowth#BrokerEvaluation