业内

USD/JPY ANALYSIS: YEN FALLS AS BOJ STAYS DOVISH

The Japanese yen fell below 144.65 against the US dollar, reaching a three-week low. This decline came after Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda stated that the bank has time to assess market and economic developments before adjusting monetary policy. His comments suggested that the Japanese central bank is in no rush to raise interest rates further. Ueda also warned of external risks, such as heightened volatility in financial markets and uncertainty over whether the US economy can achieve a soft landing. Last week, the Bank of Japan kept its interest rate unchanged at 0.25%, in line with expectations. Recent developments have impacted the prospects of a rate hike in October, although it is still expected to be raised in December. Externally, the Yen faced renewed pressure from a stronger dollar as the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut boosted US economic expectations. Bank of Japan has time to assess impact of two rate hikes Unanimously, the Bank of Japan kept its key short-term interest rate at around 0.25% at its September meeting, remaining at its highest level since 2008, in line with market consensus. Friday’s decision confirmed that the BOJ is in no rush to raise rates again after raising them twice this year, in March and July. Also, the board noted the need for more time to monitor financial markets amid hawkish views from some members. The BOJ maintained its assessment that Japan’s economy remains on track for a moderate recovery, despite some areas of weakness. Private consumption continued its upward trend, helped by improved corporate profits and business spending. Exports and industrial production, however, remained relatively flat. As for inflation, the annual figures ranged between 2.5% and 3.0%, driven by higher service prices. Meanwhile, inflation expectations showed a moderate increase, with the core consumer price index expected to rise gradually.

2024-09-26 04:00 Nigeria

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业内

DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE RECEDES

The Dow Jones tilted into the bearish side, falling 300 points. Exhaustion plays are on the cards with indexes deep in overbought territory. Despite a trim off the top, the Dow Jones is on pace for another record month. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) pulled back on Wednesday, shedding around 300 points and easing back below the 42,000 handle as the heavyweight equity index takes a breather after a period of repeated breaks into record territory.  Treasury yields ticked higher on Wednesday and most of the US indexes are testing into the red, with the Dow Jones taking the brunt of the damage, falling 0.8% through the US trading session. Market focus is shifting back to the state of the US economy following the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) bumper 50 bps rate cut last week. US consumer confidence indicators fell this week as the average US consumer doesn’t share in the stock market’s exuberance over Fed rate cuts, with key confidence readings falling to their lowest levels in three years and consumer inflation expectations for the next 12 months ticking higher. This Friday will see a fresh update to US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation figures. New home sales also fell in August, declining 4.7% to 716K from the previous month’s revised 751K. Meanwhile, investors will see another print of US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth for the second quarter, expected to hold steady at 3.0% on an annualized basis. Thursday will also bring a slew of speeches and public appearances from several Fed officials, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Dow Jones news Most of the Dow Jones equity index tilted into the red on Wednesday, with around two-thirds of the stock board easing for the day. Intel (INTC) still managed to extend a near-term rally, stretching another 2.5% to $23.40 per share, but the battered chipmaker still remains down over 53% YTD. Amgen (AMGN) tumbled nearly 5% on Wednesday, dragging the Dow Jones lower overall and fell below $315 per share for the second time since the beginning of August. The pharmaceutical company’s recent exploration into a new eczema drug called rocatinlimab yielded results that undershot efficacy expectations, and also underperformed competitors’ products that already exist for treating atopic dermatitis.

2024-09-26 03:43 Nigeria

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业内Investors realizing rate cuts won't save real esta

Last week's jumbo rate cut from the Federal Reserve isn't looking like a panacea for what ails the real-estate sector as long-end Treasury yields continue to creep higher, said Jose Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers, in a Wednesday note. "Investors are realizing that the Fed’s journey down the monetary policy stairs may not bolster the ailing real estate sector, with long-end yields remaining elevated despite the central bank’s jumbo rate reduction last week," he wrote. "Against the backdrop, the Treasury curve is steepening sharply as bond vigilantes smell an inflation problem down the road and remain unwilling to lock in the coupons of the day." Sales of newly built homes in the U.S. fell 4.7% to an annual rate of 716,000 in August, from a revised 751,000 in the prior month, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday. The pace of sales was still the highest since April and topped economist forecasts for a drop to 700,000. The data was " further evidence of costly duration, with new home sales declining and inventories increasing as builders relied on discounts to support transactions," Torres said.

金猫好返

2024-09-26 06:38

业内Gold logs another record high

Gold futures climbed to another record high on Wednesday, a day after its sister metal, silver, settled at its highest in more than 11 years, but both may be ready for a pullback in the coming weeks as daily charts for the metals show what one technician referred to as “upside exhaustion.” On the futures market, gold for December delivery climbed to an intraday record high of $2,694.90 an ounce on Comex Wednesday and marked an all-time settlement high of $2,684.70, according to Dow Jones Market Data. Silver on Tuesday saw its December contract settle at $32.43 an ounce, the highest most-active contract finish since December 2012. It eased back a bit Wednesday to settle at $32.02. In a note Wednesday, Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG, said he remains “constructive” on precious metals over the next six to 12 months but added that there are “tactical opportunities that present themselves, and we want to be opportunistic so that we can add into weakness.”

6-1301张宇...张宇翔

2024-09-26 06:07

业内USD/JPY ANALYSIS: YEN FALLS AS BOJ STAYS DOVISH

The Japanese yen fell below 144.65 against the US dollar, reaching a three-week low. This decline came after Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda stated that the bank has time to assess market and economic developments before adjusting monetary policy. His comments suggested that the Japanese central bank is in no rush to raise interest rates further. Ueda also warned of external risks, such as heightened volatility in financial markets and uncertainty over whether the US economy can achieve a soft landing. Last week, the Bank of Japan kept its interest rate unchanged at 0.25%, in line with expectations. Recent developments have impacted the prospects of a rate hike in October, although it is still expected to be raised in December. Externally, the Yen faced renewed pressure from a stronger dollar as the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut boosted US economic expectations. Bank of Japan has time to assess impact of two rate hikes Unanimously, the Bank of Japan kept its key short-term interest rate at around 0.25% at its September meeting, remaining at its highest level since 2008, in line with market consensus. Friday’s decision confirmed that the BOJ is in no rush to raise rates again after raising them twice this year, in March and July. Also, the board noted the need for more time to monitor financial markets amid hawkish views from some members. The BOJ maintained its assessment that Japan’s economy remains on track for a moderate recovery, despite some areas of weakness. Private consumption continued its upward trend, helped by improved corporate profits and business spending. Exports and industrial production, however, remained relatively flat. As for inflation, the annual figures ranged between 2.5% and 3.0%, driven by higher service prices. Meanwhile, inflation expectations showed a moderate increase, with the core consumer price index expected to rise gradually.

FATEEMAH1

2024-09-26 04:00

业内DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE RECEDES

The Dow Jones tilted into the bearish side, falling 300 points. Exhaustion plays are on the cards with indexes deep in overbought territory. Despite a trim off the top, the Dow Jones is on pace for another record month. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) pulled back on Wednesday, shedding around 300 points and easing back below the 42,000 handle as the heavyweight equity index takes a breather after a period of repeated breaks into record territory.  Treasury yields ticked higher on Wednesday and most of the US indexes are testing into the red, with the Dow Jones taking the brunt of the damage, falling 0.8% through the US trading session. Market focus is shifting back to the state of the US economy following the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) bumper 50 bps rate cut last week. US consumer confidence indicators fell this week as the average US consumer doesn’t share in the stock market’s exuberance over Fed rate cuts, with key confidence readings falling to their lowest levels in three years and consumer inflation expectations for the next 12 months ticking higher. This Friday will see a fresh update to US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation figures. New home sales also fell in August, declining 4.7% to 716K from the previous month’s revised 751K. Meanwhile, investors will see another print of US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth for the second quarter, expected to hold steady at 3.0% on an annualized basis. Thursday will also bring a slew of speeches and public appearances from several Fed officials, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Dow Jones news Most of the Dow Jones equity index tilted into the red on Wednesday, with around two-thirds of the stock board easing for the day. Intel (INTC) still managed to extend a near-term rally, stretching another 2.5% to $23.40 per share, but the battered chipmaker still remains down over 53% YTD. Amgen (AMGN) tumbled nearly 5% on Wednesday, dragging the Dow Jones lower overall and fell below $315 per share for the second time since the beginning of August. The pharmaceutical company’s recent exploration into a new eczema drug called rocatinlimab yielded results that undershot efficacy expectations, and also underperformed competitors’ products that already exist for treating atopic dermatitis.

FATEEMAH1

2024-09-26 03:43

业内What happen ? After the RMB break through 7

Recently, the appreciation trend of the RMB exchange rate has been significant. At around 8:00 am Beijing time on September 25th, the USDCNH broke through the 7.0 mark, reaching a high of 6.9951, and then returned to the range of 6. It is worth mentioning that the USDCNH has appreciated beyond the 7.0 mark, marking the first time since May last year and reaching a new high in 16 months. In the eyes of industry insiders, after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates, coupled with the recent introduction of a package of domestic policies and the improvement of domestic economic recovery expectations, the USDCNH has steadily appreciated in this round, breaking through the 7-point mark. Looking ahead to the future, there is a strong sentiment in the current foreign exchange market, and the previously accumulated demand for foreign exchange settlement will be further released. After the RMB exchange rate rises above 7, there may still be some room for appreciation.

别具汇眼

2024-09-26 03:10

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