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Gold Price Surges Above $4,600 as Fed Rate-Hold Bets Offset Fading Safe-Haven Demand

WikiFX
| 2026-01-16 14:56

Abstract:Gold prices climb above $4,600 after rebounding from recent losses. US jobless claims reinforce Fed rate-hold expectations, while easing geopolitical tensions limit safe-haven demand.

compressed_ChatGPT Image 2026年1月16日 14_41_03.png

Gold prices climb above $4,600 after rebounding from recent losses. US jobless claims reinforce Fed rate-hold expectations, while easing geopolitical tensions limit safe-haven demand.

Gold Rises Above $4,600 After Recovering from Recent Losses

Gold prices surged above $4,600, recovering from recent losses as investors balanced expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes against easing geopolitical risks. While traditional safe-haven demand showed signs of fading, stable US economic data and cautious optimism around global tensions helped support bullion prices.

Gold Gains Despite Weaker Safe-Haven Demand

Gold, often viewed as a hedge during times of uncertainty, extended gains even as risk sentiment improved. The rise followed comments from former US President Donald Trump, who signaled a possible delay in military action after Irans pledge, easing immediate fears of regional conflict.

At the same time, several US allies reportedly called for restraint, reducing the likelihood of a near-term military strike. As geopolitical tensions cooled, safe-haven flows moderated, yet gold prices remained resilient due to renewed buying after the recent pullback.

US Jobless Claims Strengthen Fed Rate-Hold Outlook

On the economic front, the latest US Initial Jobless Claims data reinforced market expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in the coming months. While the US labor market continues to show resilience, signs of gradual softening have reduced the probability of further rate hikes.

Because gold is a non-interest-bearing asset, higher interest rates typically weigh on prices. However, with rate-hold expectations now firmly priced in, downside pressure on gold remained limited, allowing the precious metal to recover.

Gold Price Outlook: Focus on Fed Policy and Geopolitical Developments

Looking ahead, gold price movements are likely to remain sensitive to Fed policy signals, upcoming US inflation and employment data, and evolving geopolitical headlines. Although easing tensions may cap aggressive upside moves, ongoing global uncertainty and expectations of eventual rate cuts could continue to provide support for gold prices.

For now, golds rebound above the $4,600 mark highlights its ability to hold firm even as safe-haven demand softens.

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