Abstract:Market movements remain elevated as rising yields put pressure on most financial assets. Later in the day, the US labor market data for January are due. The non-farm payrolls number is seen dropping to 150,000 from 199,000 in December. As a result, the unemployment rate is expected to stay unchanged at 3.9%.

Market movements remain elevated as rising yields put pressure on most financial assets.
Later in the day, the US labor market data for January are due. The non-farm payrolls number is seen dropping to 150,000 from 199,000 in December. As a result, the unemployment rate is expected to stay unchanged at 3.9%.
However, according to the official forecast, wage growth will likely continue rising, printing 5.2% year-over-year.
At the same time, Canadian jobs data will be released, but the net change in employment is expected to crash to -117,000, down from 54,700 previously. If that is the case, we could see a decline in the Canadian dollar, pushing the USDCAD pair higher.
Yesterday's surprisingly hawkish ECB decision sent the EURUSD pair sharply higher, along with bond yields in Europe. The market now anticipates two rate hikes this year in the eurozone.
Additionally, the Bank of England also hiked rates, and it will likely deliver another rate increase at its next month's meeting. However, the GBPUSD pair has failed to react bullishly and stayed below the strong resistance of 1.36.
US equities dived yesterday, with all benchmarks falling sharply. However, Amazon's excellent results sent the company stocks some 15% higher in the aftermarket trading, erasing most of the losses in the Nasdaq index.
Nevertheless, the bearish pressure returned today, and indices traded lower again, heading into the US session.

President Trump signaled the U.S. and China are effectively in a trade war, even as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent left room to extend a current tariff pause and a Trump–Xi meeting remains on the calendar. After floating a new 100% tariff on Chinese goods from Nov. 1, tensions seesawed amid Chinese sanctions and U.S. threats over soybeans. Some U.S. tariffs (up to ~145%) are paused until Nov. 10, with a Supreme Court test of “reciprocal” tariffs looming. Companies are adapting unevenly—Stellantis expanding in the U.S., while Apple deepens ties in China—suggesting continued market volatility.

Despite frequent “de-dollarization” headlines, the U.S. dollar remains unrivaled due to unmatched market depth, global usability, and trusted legal/institutional frameworks. Crypto and other currencies (euro, yuan) lack the stability, convertibility, and infrastructure required to replace the USD, while the Fed’s credibility and the scale of U.S. financial markets continue to anchor demand. Bottom line: no alternative currently offers a complete, credible substitute for the dollar’s global role.

The Non-farm Payroll (NFP) report may be for the US. However, the report, which is issued every month, impacts the forex market globally. The monthly report estimates the number of jobs gained in the US in the previous month. The job numbers stated on this report exclude those of farms, private households, and non-profit organizations. Usually released on the first Friday of the month, the report also includes the US unemployment rate, average hourly earnings, and participation rate. In this article, we have answered the question - what is NFP in forex - and shared other pertinent details. Read on!

Federal Reserve officials had a meeting on June 17-18 during which some of them expressed a fall in interest rates in July. However, a lot of policymakers are still worried about the inflationary pressures that might emerge from US President Donald Trump’s import tariff decisions aimed at changing global trade. So, it seems the rate cut may not happen in July. Read this to know more.