ACCM：标普500回测6,900关口，美国GDP创两年新高

美国GDP飙升至两年高点

美国初值GDP年化增长率录得4.3%，显著高于市场预期的3.3%，也高于前值3.8%，创下两年来的最高水平。本轮强劲增长的主要驱动力来自高收入群体的消费支出以及科技行业的资本开支。原本市场预计消费者支出将增长2.7%，但实际数据大幅走强，达到3.5%。此外，净出口表现同样亮眼，出口增长8.8%，而进口下降4.7%，共同对GDP形成强力支撑。

数据公布后，SPX500 快速上行并回测历史高位，价格运行在接近7000点附近。从技术形态来看，指数正处于旗形上涨结构中，上方旗形趋势线与7000这一整数关口重合，构成重要阻力区域。若价格在此受阻，可能形成一个小型双顶结构，并伴随MACD顶背离信号，这将为短期趋势转向埋下伏笔。

SPX500 Weekly

与此同时，EURUSD 本周展现出明显的多头动能。汇价在上升趋势线附近获得支撑后持续走高，当前正向前期约1.18附近的摆动高点发起测试。若价格能够有效收于1.18及此前高点之上，尽管RSI已进入超买区域，汇价仍有望进一步上探1.19一带的极值高点。

EURUSD Daily

加拿大GDP下滑，USDCAD大幅走低

加拿大GDP录得-0.3%，明显弱于前值的0.2%。商品生产和服务业的同步走弱是本次数据下滑的主要原因。其中，制造业在10月遭受重创，环比下降1.5%，耐用品与非耐用品需求放缓对整体数据形成显著拖累。

数据公布后，USDCAD 出现快速下跌，汇价在1.3750关键枢纽位附近遭遇明显阻力后大幅回落。下方价格可能在下降趋势线附近寻得阶段性支撑，但从当前结构来看，空头动能依然强劲，下行空间相对充足，短期内仍偏向延续回调走势。

USDCAD Daily

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