
New York / London / Singapore — If you felt dizzy watching the markets in 2025, you weren't alone. As we close the books on one of the most transformative years in recent economic history, it is clear that the old rules of engagement have been rewritten. The year began with warnings of turbulence and delivered a structural shift. From the aggressive return of protectionism to the artificial intelligence capital boom that defied gravity, 2025 was the year the global economy moved from "efficiency first" to "security first."

Markets turn cautious as investors await the Fed’s December meeting minutes. The US Dollar stabilizes near 98.10, gold drops sharply from record highs, while GBP/USD, EUR/USD, and USD/JPY react to central bank signals.

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Currency markets opened the week with diverging narratives as the Japanese Yen (JPY) found footing on policy signals, while the Euro (EUR) struggles to price in the efficacy of German fiscal maneuvering amidst looming trade war threats.

While WTI Crude climbed 1.2% to trade near $57.43 on Monday driven by immediate war risks, the medium-term outlook for energy markets is turning increasingly bearish. A structural super-glut is forming that could redefine market dynamics by 2026.

XAG/USD experienced extreme volatility during Monday's Asian and early European sessions, whipsawing from highs near $84.00 to lows around $75.00 (a drop exceeding 9% intraday at peak volatility). While profit-taking after a historic rally provides a partial explanation, market chatter has centered on unverified reports of a liquidity crisis involving a major global bank.

Global commodity markets are witnessing a volatile divergence, with precious metals experiencing "melt-up" mechanics while energy markets brace for a structural supply shock.

Global markets are bracing for a week of heightened geopolitical stakes as incoming US President Donald Trump prepares for a critical summit with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, while tensions in Eastern Europe flare following fresh warnings from Moscow.

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has signaled a decisive shift away from its ultra-loose monetary past, with December meeting minutes revealing a policy board far more hawkish than market consensus anticipated. This development sets the stage for a high-stakes clash between monetary tightening and the government's massive fiscal expansion.

As 2025 concluded, the era of coordinated central bank action officially fractured, giving way to a new market regime defined by "high volatility and low synergy." In a week dominated by "Super Central Bank" meetings, major economies charted wildly different courses, fundamentally altering currency valuations and global carry trade dynamics.

LONDON — Global commodity markets diverged sharply at the start of the week, driven by opposing narratives of supply scarcity in metals and geopolitical de-escalation in energy.

The British Pound (GBP) faces headwinds as new data reveals a sharp contraction in consumer spending, raising fears that fiscal drag is choking the UK's economic engine.

BEIJING — The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is set to initiate a major overhaul of its central bank digital currency (CBDC) framework, with the "New Generation Digital RMB" system scheduled to go live on January 1, 2026.

Despite the Federal Reserve cutting rates to the 3.50%-3.75% range, long-term Treasury yields remain stubbornly high, suggesting the market believes the 'neutral rate' has structurally shifted higher.

SYDNEY — The Australian Dollar (AUD) has emerged as the clear winner in the late-2025 currency sweepstakes, surging to a 14-month high of 0.6727 against the US Dollar on Monday. The currency is being propelled by a perfect storm of hawkish domestic monetary policy and a historic realignment in global commodity markets.

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The US Dollar Index (DXY) remains steady near 98.00, supported by a mix of technical recovery and external currency weakness. While markets await definitive signals on the Fed's 2026 cutting cycle, technical breakdowns in major peers are driving price action.

The precious metals market staged a historic rally on Monday, with Spot Gold flirting with the $4,550 per ounce level and Silver skyrocketing over 5% to breach $83. The frenzy has triggered immediate risk management measures from the CME Group, while analysts point to aggressive Federal Reserve easing bets for 2026 as the primary driver.

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