欧洲央行警告通胀反弹风险加剧，欧元兑美元大涨，美元兑日元逼近140大关

欧洲央行再次降息，通胀威胁加剧

上周，欧洲央行（ECB）行长和副行长在新闻发布会上谈到了影响最新利率决定的因素。欧洲央行行长克里斯蒂娜·拉加德决定将主要存款利率下调0.25%至3.5%，因为通胀问题依然令人担忧。

此决定是在通胀率预计将在2024年最后一个季度再次上升后作出的，此前通胀率有所下降，接近2%的目标。新闻发布会指出，工资增长过快是推动价格上涨的主要风险。

消息发布后，欧元兑美元升至1.11水平并测试下降趋势线。价格看似有可能突破下降旗形，近期测试1.12的潜在阻力。

欧元兑美元日线图

欧元兑日元继续快速下跌，价格接近1.55枢纽位，该水平在上个月曾经有强劲需求。如果价格进一步下跌，可能会找到足够的需求，从而上涨并测试下降趋势线。

欧元兑日元日线图

美国消费者信心超预期，信心增强

美国初步消费者信心指数为69，高于预测的68.3，也高于之前的67.9。信心增强的原因是年通胀预期从2.8%降至2.7%。此外，当前状况指数从61.3上升至62.9，消费者预期指数也有所改善。

数据显示发布后，美元兑日元快速下跌，测试140.50水平，该水平在今年一月曾有显著需求。随着价格进一步跌破140.50，预计该空头趋势将在此处找到支撑。

美元兑日元日线图

风险提示：

The information contained in this market commentary is of general nature only and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. You are strongly recommended to seek independent financial advice before making any investment decisions.

Trading margin forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Investors could experience losses in excess of total deposits. You do not have ownership of the underlying assets. AC Capital Market (V) Ltd is the product issuer and distributor. Please read and consider our Product Disclosure Statement and Terms and Conditions, and fully understand the risks involved before deciding to acquire any of the financial products provided by us.

The content of this market commentary is owned by AC Capital Market (V) Ltd. Any illegal reproduction of this content will result in immediate legal action.