Silver Price Forecast: Head-and-Shoulders risk builds below $67

Silver price struggles to clear a key technical resistance near $67.00, retraces to two-day lows at $65.31, and records a 1.42% loss. The non-yielding metal failed to sustain its early gains amid elevated US bond yields, driven by rising inflationary pressures.

The white metal appears to be forming a head-and-shoulders chart pattern with bearish implications, but the pattern is not yet confirmed. After peaking two weeks ago at $71.12, Silver tumbled to $65.58, before forming another leg-up, which was capped by the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $67.27.

Since then, XAG/USD has retreated to current spot levels, while momentum, as depicted by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), has turned bearish, a signal that traders favor further downside.

If XAG/USD dives below $65.00, this clears the path to challenge the September 2 low of $63.32. A breach of the latter confirms the head-and-shoulders formation, so a move towards the $55.00 psychological mark is on the cards.

On the flip side, if the white metal reclaims the 100-day SMA, a move to the $70.00 is likely.

Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.

Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.