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Bessent's $1 Trillion Warning: Yields Fall, Gold Rises

WikiFX
| 2026-08-25 14:00

Abstract:Treasury yields fell and gold rallied after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned investors not to bet against his ability to tame the bond market, signaling readiness to deploy the near-$1 trillion Treasury General Account to fund expanded long-term bond buybacks.

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Treasury yields fell and the price of gold continued its recent rally Monday after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent essentially warned investors not to bet against his ability to tame the government bond market, according to Investor's Business Daily.

The move followed last week's news that the Treasury will at least double its buybacks of long-term bonds, with Bessent and his lieutenants signaling their readiness to deploy the nearly $1 trillion Treasury General Account (TGA), the report said.

A Near-Trillion-Dollar War Chest

According to CNBC, citing two senior Treasury officials, the Treasury could use its near $1 trillion General Account to help fund its recently announced plans to increase purchases of government bonds. Using the TGA would provide the Treasury with considerable firepower to influence long-term bond yields, CNBC reported.

Bessent has built up the TGA to around $950 billion currently, compared with a stated goal under the Biden administration of around $550 billion to $600 billion.

Doubling the Buyback Program

The Treasury surprised markets in the week of August 19, 2026, by announcing it would double the size of buybacks of off-the-run securities on the long end from $2 billion to at least $4 billion. Bessent said on CNBC that such operations could be even larger than the new higher minimum.

In the CNBC interview, Bessent called the operation a “Treasury Twist,” a reference to a government or Federal Reserve operation where long-term Treasurys are bought and paid for with short-term issuance. That also implied that short-term bonds would be sold.

Skepticism Tempers the Rally

However, the Treasury made no mention of how it would fund the purchases. Most market participants assumed it would do so by selling short-term bills, and the senior Treasury officials did not rule that out.

Since the surprise announcement, bonds have retreated from an initial rally, sending yields higher, in part because of skepticism voiced by many market analysts about how effective the operation would be and whether the Treasury's resources were too limited.

The first enhanced buyback operation is scheduled for Sept. 9, 2026, with the Treasury announcing the plan for the entire quarter in its Aug. 19, 2026 announcement. Officials noted the announcement was made nearly three weeks before the first operation will take place.

Market Reaction and Coverage

The gold rally on Monday built on an earlier jump. According to IBD's related coverage, on Aug. 19, 2026, the gold price jumped and the GDX gold miner ETF surged after Bessent moved to cap long-term Treasury yields with a plan to double long-term bond buybacks.

CNBC's report by Steve Liesman was published Monday, Aug. 24, 2026, at 7:34 AM EDT and updated at 9:17 AM EDT. Investor's Business Daily's article by Jed Graham was published at 10:07 AM ET on Aug. 24, 2026.

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