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Rupee Weakens to 94.95 Amid Oil Spike

WikiFX
| 2026-06-02 12:00

Abstract:The Indian rupee weakened to 94.95 against the dollar despite RBI intervention, pressured by heavy foreign capital outflows and a spike in global crude oil prices driven by Middle East geopolitical tensions. In global markets, the dollar held steady, advancing into the upper 159 yen-range.

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The Indian rupee slipped to 94.95 against the US dollar under pressure from fleeing foreign capital and a sudden surge in global energy prices. Rising oil benchmarks and geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East are creating volatile macro conditions for currency traders monitoring inflation and interest rate impacts.

Rupee Slips Despite Central Bank Support

The rupee fell by 10 paise to close at 94.95 against the greenback. The decline occurred even as state-run banks executed dollar sales on behalf of the Reserve Bank of India to provide market support. Downward pressure on the rupee was amplified by significant equity market outflows, with foreign investors net selling 3,912 crore rupees in domestic shares following a massive 21,106 crore rupee withdrawal in the previous week.

Crude Oil Jumps on Supply Disruption Fears

Energy markets directly impacted currency fundamentals, with West Texas Intermediate crude for July delivery jumped to approximately $91.57 per barrel. Brent crude futures also traded just below $95 a barrel. The price surge followed reports that Iran could close the Strait of Hormuz in response to regional military conflict. Oil benchmarks pulled back slightly from their highs after US officials signaled that negotiations toward a settlement remain ongoing. Gold remained subdued around $4,482 an ounce.

Dollar Advances in Yen Trade

The broader US dollar held steady across major pairs, advancing into the higher 159 yen-range. The movement in the USD/JPY pair aligned with new data from the Bank of Japan, which reported a 12.2 percent year-over-year contraction in the country's May monetary base, landing at 575.763 trillion yen. This contraction missed market expectations for a 9.5 percent decline.

Australian Currency Drifts Near $0.716

The Australian dollar traded at $0.716 as markets digested a mix of weaker domestic economic data. Australia posted a seasonally adjusted broader current account deficit of A$27.1 billion for the first quarter, missing forecasts. Additionally, total building work approvals in the country dropped a seasonally adjusted 3.4 percent in April.

Global currency markets are navigating a highly sensitive environment defined by rapid fluctuations in crude oil and shifting capital flows. With the US dollar holding its ground and central banks actively managing domestic liquidity, trading conditions remain heavily tied to energy supply constraints and cross-border risk sentiment.

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