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Dollar Crumbles to 4-Year Lows; Gold Skyrockets Past $5,500 on Geopolitical Risk

WikiFX
| 2026-01-29 16:10

Abstract:The US Dollar Index has collapsed to a four-year low near 95.50 following comments from President Trump favoring a weaker currency. Simultaneously, Spot Gold has shattered historical records, surpassing $5,500/oz driven by geopolitical escalation in the Middle East and central bank buying.

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NEW YORK — A potent combination of White House rhetoric and escalating geopolitical tensions has triggered a massive capital rotation, creating a “perfect storm” in global markets. The US Dollar Index (DXY) plummeted below the critical 96.00 handle to hit its lowest level since early 2022, while Safe-haven flows sent Gold (XAU/USD) parabolic, breaching the unprecedented $5,580 per ounce mark.

Trumps “Yo-Yo” Dollar

The greenback's sell-off accelerated after President Trump remarked that a weaker dollar was “great,” likening the currency's movements to a “yo-yo.” Markets interpreted this as an implicit abandonment of the traditional “Strong Dollar” policy, despite Treasury Secretary Bessent's attempts to walk back the comments.

The loss of confidence was immediate:

  • EUR/USD surged toward 1.20, a level not seen since mid-2021.
  • USD/JPY experienced extreme volatility, briefly crashing before rebounding on intervention concerns.
  • USD/CHF hit an 11-year low as investors fled the US currency.

Gold's Historic Ascent and Liquidity Shocks

Amidst the dollar's debasement, Gold has become the primary beneficiary, surging over 150 dollars in a single session to set new all-time highs. The moves are driven by three key factors:

Analyst View

“We are witnessing a structural break in the dollar's dominance,” noted Cole Smead of Smead Capital Management, warning of a long-term bear market for the greenback. With the Fed pausing rates and the White House cheering on depreciation, the path of least resistance for XAU/USD remains aggressively upward, though technical indicators warn that the asset is now deeply overbought.

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