FPG BTCUSD Market Report September 25, 2025

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) remains under bearish pressure after its recent breakdown from the consolidation zone (114,689 - 117,648). The price is now hovering around 113,326, unable to reclaim the Ichimoku Cloud. This rejection reflects weak bullish attempts, as sellers continue to dominate in the short-term outlook.

On the H4 chart, Bitcoin shows limited recovery attempts but remains capped below the Kijun-sen and the Ichimoku Cloud, which reinforce strong resistance near 114,689. The MACD indicator stands at -515, still in bearish territory, though its histogram is flattening, suggesting slowing downside momentum. Candlesticks show rejection wicks at higher levels, confirming seller strength on rallies.

Meanwhile, the Stochastic Oscillator (5,3,3) is positioned at 82, deep in the overbought zone following the minor rebound. This signals the likelihood of renewed selling pressure if BTC fails to overcome resistance. Unless bulls manage to push the price above 114,689, the broader bias remains tilted to the downside.

Market Observation & Strategy Advice:

1. Current position: Bitcoin traded around 113,326, attempting recovery but still below major resistance.

2. Resistance Zone: 114,689 acts as the immediate ceiling; only a breakout above this level could shift momentum in favor of buyers.

3. Support Zone: Key support is seen around 111,889, with stronger defense at 110,996 if bearish momentum extends.

4. Indicators: MACD at -515 signals ongoing bearish momentum, while Stochastic Oscillator at 82 warns of overbought conditions and possible downside pressure.

5. Trading Strategy Suggestions:

• Bullish Scenario: Consider long positions only if BTC closes firmly above 114,689, targeting 117,648.

• Bearish Scenario: Short positions favored on failure to clear 114,689, with downside targets at 111,000–110,000.

• Neutral Scenario: Range trading opportunities may arise between 113,000–114,689 until a breakout defines the next direction.

Market Performance:

Crypto Last Price % Change

ETHUSD 4,143.2 −0.26%

LTCUSD 105.59 +0.02%

Today's Key Economic Calendar:

DE: GfK Consumer Confidence

US: Durable Goods Orders MoM

US: GDP Growth Rate QoQ Final

US: Existing Home Sales

Risk Disclaimer This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investments involve risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Consult your financial advisor for personalized investment strategies.