DBG Markets: Market Report for Aug 12, 2025

Market Analysis

GOLD

Gold prices are selling off after finding weakness in yesterday's session. The price has shifted to a bearish bias, breaking below key boundaries and the EMA200. The MACD reflects this growth in selling volume, and the RSI confirms the growing bearish momentum. We will continue to look for more bearish opportunities, but the market's direction will ultimately depend on how this week's U.S. data influences Fed rate policy expectations.

SILVER

Silver is trading between boundaries with a mixed technical picture. While our underlying bias has been bullish, the MACD and RSI are currently showing growth in bearish momentum and volume. Due to these conflicting signals, we will wait for a clear break of the current price structure before confirming a direction.

DXY

The Dollar is holding steady as traders await this week's inflation reports. While the MACD and RSI reflect some short-term bullish momentum, this appears to be a corrective bounce within a larger bearish price structure. Therefore, we will continue to look for overarching bearish opportunities. The interpretation of the upcoming data will be critical in determining the next major move.

Markets are holding steady in a "calm before the storm" phase ahead of key U.S. inflation data (CPI) and other reports later this week. The primary market narrative remains focused on if and when the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates, and this week's data will be crucial in shaping those expectations.

GBPUSD

The Pound is holding its ground with a high probability of a bullish continuation. Although the MACD shows some underlying selling pressure, the price action remains firm, suggesting buyers are absorbing the selling. Our bullish expectation remains, but we are waiting for a more decisive move.

AUDUSD

The Aussie dollar is currently testing the EMA200. The MACD shows muted bearish volume, while the RSI is coming off overbought levels. This suggests a consolidation phase. We will look for buying opportunities but will remain careful, as the market's direction will ultimately depend on the U.S. Dollar narrative.

NZDUSD

The Kiwi's recent rally has stalled at the strong 0.59796 resistance level. Furthermore, the price has broken below the EMA200. These are significant bearish signals. As long as the price remains under this key resistance, the probability of a sell-off is higher.

EURUSD

The Euro is seeing a continuation of its buying momentum, finding support at the EMA200. The MACD shows that bearish volume is muted, while the RSI indicates bullish momentum is growing. We expect further buying in the coming days but will watch how the pair reacts to the week's upcoming economic events.

USDJPY

The Yen's recent weakness appears related to domestic factors, not just the dollar narrative. The USD/JPY pair, along with its MACD and RSI indicators, is highly consolidated. This signals the potential for a buy continuation, but until we see a clear directional breakout, we will hold off on trading this pair.

USDCHF

The Franc continues to consolidate as it waits for the U.S. Dollar to make its next move. The movement of this pair often mirrors the DXY due to the Franc's general stability. For now, we will wait to see how it reacts to the upcoming data releases.

USDCAD

The USD/CAD pair is currently moving upward in a corrective rally. The MACD shows some bullish volume, and the RSI is approaching overbought levels. While the longer-term market structure has been bearish, the immediate momentum is to the upside. We will monitor for signs of this rally's exhaustion before looking for bearish opportunities.