Ultima Markets | EURUSD Analysis: Be aware of TRADE war

Fundamental Analysis of EURUSDEURUSD

Key Takeaways

• Tariff confrontation: Yesterday, the EU announced that it would impose retaliatory tariffs on US products worth 26 billion euros starting next month. Trump claimed that he would respond to the EU‘s retaliatory tariffs.

• The probability of a Fed rate cut has increased instead of decreased: US CPI data for February was lower than expected across the board, and the swap market’s bets on the Feds rate cut this year have decreased instead of increased, from 73 basis points to about 67 basis points.

Technical Analysis of EURUSD Daily and Hourly Charts

EURUSD Daily Chart Insights

(EURUSD Daily Price Chart, Source: Ultima Markets MT4)

• Stochastic oscillator: The indicator is fluctuating and consolidating in the overbought area, suggesting that there is a risk of a decline in the exchange rate in the short term.

• Key price: Since the exchange rate finally fell yesterday, if it falls below yesterday's lowest point today, the euro will be dominated by the compilation trend in the short term this week.

EURUSD H1 Chart Analysis

(EURUSD H1 Price Chart, Source: Ultima Markets MT4)

• Stochastic oscillator: During the Asian session, the indicator showed a bullish upward trend, but the exchange rate showed an oscillating adjustment trend. It suggests that short-term liquidity is low and the exchange rate has not yet determined the trend direction.

• Support area: Although there is a probability of adjustment in the daily cycle, there are many support prices below the intraday hourly chart. The exchange rate will still be dominated by a bullish trend before it breaks the upward trend and horizontal support price.

Pivot Indicator Insights for EURUSD

(EURUSD M30 Price Chart)

• The central price of the day is established at 1.0925,

• Bullish Scenario: Bullish sentiment prevails above 1.0925, first target 1.0945, second target 1.0965;

• Bearish Outlook: In a bearish scenario below 1.0925, first target 1.0870, second target 1.0845.

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Comments, news, research, analysis, price, and all information contained in the article only serve as general information for readers and do not suggest any advice. Ultima Markets has taken reasonable measures to provide up-to-date information, but cannot guarantee accuracy, and may modify without notice. Ultima Markets will not be responsible for any loss incurred due to the application of the information provided.