Abstract:Behind most traders’ failures are complex markets, emotional fluctuations, and cognitive biases. Here are 12 statistics revealing the reasons.
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The failure rate among traders in the financial markets has always been a subject of concern. While the statistic “95% of traders fail” has become a widely known figure, its accuracy has never been confirmed. Research indicates that the actual failure rate may be much higher. Often, traders not only fail to achieve profits, but also suffer significant losses due to emotional fluctuations, cognitive biases, and a lack of systematic strategies. Below are some startling statistics revealed through in-depth analysis of trader data, helping us better understand why most traders fail.
- Most day traders give up after a short period. Only about 13% continue trading after three years.
- About 80% of day traders quit within the first two years of trading.
- Most traders underperform the market, with average returns 1.5% lower than the market index.
- Active traders tend to perform even worse, with returns averaging 6.5% below the market.
- Traders with a history of poor performance continue to trade, despite receiving negative feedback on their abilities.
- The more frequently traders engage in trading, the more likely they are to incur greater losses.
- Successful day traders account for 12% of all trading activity, despite making up a small portion of traders.
- In every income group, lower-income groups tend to spend more on lottery tickets.
- Investors with a significant gap between their current financial situation and desired level tend to hold riskier stocks.
- fInvestors with a significant gap between their current financial situation and desired level tend to hold riskier stocks.
- Men trade more than women, and unmarried men trade more frequently than married men.
- Traders with higher IQs tend to hold more stocks and mutual funds, benefiting more from diversification.
- Investors tend to sell winning investments while holding onto losing ones.
Conclusion
These statistics reveal the reasons behind trading failures: market complexity, emotional fluctuations, overconfidence, and information overload all influence traders decision-making. By recognizing these biases and behaviors, traders can better control their emotions and avoid making impulsive decisions. For traders, the key to success lies in recognizing their weaknesses and developing a clear trading plan.