US "Scary Data" Unexpectedly Slows in January; Gold and Dollar Index Both Fall!

Hot spot tracking

• The monthly rate of retail sales in the United States in January was -0.9%, the biggest drop since January 2024. This news is bearish for the US dollar.

• The Trump administration “loosened the reins”, and a large number of US-made heavy bombs arrived in Israel late at night. This news is bullish for crude oil and gold.

• There is a silver investment boom in South Korea, and silver bars are sold out. This news is bullish for silver.

Product Hot Comment

• Forex

• ProductYesterday's ChangeYesterday's CloseToday's OpenEUR/USD▲0.24%1.049141.04883GBP/USD▲0.16%1.258591.25866AUD/USD▲0.63%0.635850.63523USD/JPY▼-0.34%152.324152.281GBP/CAD▲0.03%1.783671.78363NZD/CAD▲0.82%0.812510.81097

• 📝 Review:Last Friday, the U.S. dollar index closed at a nearly nine-week low on a weekly basis due to an unexpected plunge in the U.S. “horror data” for January. It finally closed down 0.25% at 106.79. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.4800%; the two-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.2690%.

• 🕵️ Operation suggestion:USD/JPY 151.911 Sell Target Price 150.983

• Gold

• ProductYesterday's ChangeYesterday's CloseToday's OpenGold▼-1.44%2885.352884.82Silver▼-0.28%32.1732.19

• 📝 Review:As Trump postponed the implementation of reciprocal tariffs, market concerns about escalating trade conflicts were alleviated, and spot gold fell 1.54% during the day to $2,882.09 an ounce. Spot silver finally closed down 0.68% at $32.11 per ounce.

• 🕵️ Operation suggestion:Gold 2884.94 Buy Target Price 2937.88

• Crude Oil

• ProductYesterday's ChangeYesterday's CloseToday's OpenWTI Crude Oil▼-0.94%70.67470.665Brent Crude Oil▼-0.36%74.51674.219

• 📝 Review:Oil prices closed lower on hopes that Russia and Ukraine could reach a peace deal that would end Western sanctions on Moscow and ease global supply disruptions. WTI crude oil finally closed down 1.35% at $70.49 per barrel; Brent crude oil closed up 0.90% at $74.51 per barrel.

• 🕵️ Operation suggestion:WTI Crude Oil 70.360 Sell Target Price 69.240

• Indice

• ProductYesterday's ChangeYesterday's CloseToday's OpenNasdaq 100▲0.47%22107.822142.1Dow Jones▼-0.39%44512.844557.8S&P 500▼-0.05%6111.356118.75US Dollar Index▼-0.48%106.35106.58

• 📝 Review:The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 0.3%, the S&P 500 fell 0.01%, and the Nasdaq rose 0.4%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index closed up 2.27%, WeRide (WRD.O) soared 83%, Kingsoft Cloud (KC.O) rose nearly 20%, Zhihu (ZH.N) and Bilibili (BILI.O) rose more than 10%, Alibaba (BABA.N) and JD.com (JD.O) rose more than 4%. Meta Platforms (META.O) rose more than 1%, recording 20 consecutive daily gains, and its stock price continued to hit a record high, with a total market value of US$1.87 trillion. Intel (INTC.O) fell more than 2%, after rising more than 23% last week, its biggest weekly gain since January 2000.

• 🕵️ Operation suggestion:Nasdaq 100 22132.450 Buy Target Price 22266.303

• Crypto

• ProductYesterday's ChangeYesterday's CloseToday's OpenBitCoin▼-0.41%97102.696803.6Ethereum▼-0.23%2684.72677.1Dogecoin▼-1.54%0.267080.26667

• 📝 Review:Judging from the overall trend, the Bitcoin market currently shows a situation where bulls have a slight advantage. As of closing, the price of Bitcoin was still below 97,500 points. At present, the daily K-line has been fluctuating repeatedly around 96,000 points, and this wash-out behavior may end at any time. Once the market has a clear direction, investors should follow the trend.

• 🕵️ Operation suggestion:BitCoin 96191.5 Sell Target Price 94610.4