Today's Top Headlines

REMINDER

As the FED prepares to announce its rate cut decision, expect high volatility in the markets. Price action is likely to be erratic, potentially triggering stop-losses in both directions.

Trade with caution—risk only what you can afford to lose, or consider waiting for the decision to be released before taking positions. Sometimes, the best trade is no trade at all until a clearer direction emerges.

Stay alert and manage your risk wisely.

MARKET OVERVIEW

The Federal Reserves rate cut decision is just a few hours away, with analysts and bankers closely watching how the central bank will respond to Trump's demands. This decision will play a crucial role in shaping the U.S. economy in the coming days.

If the FED yields to Trumps pressure, we can expect a decline in the U.S. dollar. However, if they choose to hold rates steady, it will align with market expectations—a pause in cuts while waiting for further policy announcements from Trump. In this case, rate cuts may still be anticipated in the near future.

Until the FOMC makes its decision, market volume is expected to remain low. Traders may attempt to push prices slightly away from the open to keep them at a flexible midpoint, allowing for swift adjustments once the announcement is made.

MARKET ANALYSIS

GOLD

Gold prices are gaining bullish momentum ahead of the Federal Reserve's rate cut decision. While prices have followed our expectations of consolidation and upward movement before the announcement, the market remains at a critical juncture where it could break either bullish or bearish. Given this uncertainty, we recommend trading with extreme caution or positioning based on the anticipated direction of the FED's decision.

The MACD suggests a continuation to the upside, while the RSI is normalizing and showing increasing buying momentum. Overall price action remains bullish, and we recommend maintaining this outlook unless price action signals otherwise.

SILVER

Silver remains consolidated with no significant changes. We continue to wait for further market clues and will look for a breakout in gold to historic highs before considering a buy in silver.

US DOLLAR

The dollar remains in consolidation ahead of the FEDs rate cut decision, allowing room for any unexpected shifts in price action.

POUND

The Pound is also consolidating. We advise traders to stay on the sidelines unless they are prepared to take a position later.

AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR

The Australian dollar is weakening despite the dollar's consolidation. This suggests that risk-sensitive assets are being abandoned in favor of safer opportunities like the dollar and gold.

The MACD and RSI both indicate increasing selling volume and momentum. Price has also broken below the EMA200 and the upper boundary of the previous consolidation zone, confirming a shift in momentum. We maintain a bearish outlook on this market and anticipate further declines following the FEDs rate cut decision.

NEW ZEALAND DOLLAR (KIWI)

The Kiwi is performing slightly better than the Australian dollar. The MACD is showing signs of recovery, though with low volume, while the RSI fluctuates between extremes, indicating weak momentum.

Although price action suggests continued buying pressure—given its failure to break below key levels—we maintain a bearish fundamental outlook on this market.

EURO

As expected, the Euro remains in consolidation ahead of the FED rate cut decision. We are still bullish on overall price momentum since prices have not fallen below the previous swing low.

However, the MACD is lacking volume, and the RSI is in overbought territory, signaling a potential shift to bearish price action. While we remain cautiously bullish, traders should be prepared for a sudden reversal. Trade the lower boundary with caution.

YEN

The Yen consolidated throughout yesterdays session, staying close to the EMA200. While the RSI shows increasing buying momentum, the MACD remains weak in volume and has not yet signaled a bearish cross.

Overall, price action remains bearish unless it breaks above 155.704.

SWISS FRANC

The Franc is gaining strength after reaching a previous swing high. Current price action suggests a continuation of selling pressure. The MACD shows increased selling volume, while the RSI, though oversold, is beginning to normalize.

All indicators still point to a bearish trend. However, given expectations for a sudden rise in the dollar following the FED decision, we advise caution when trading this market.

CANADIAN DOLLAR

The CAD continues to trade sideways as anticipated. We expect this consolidation to persist until the FED rate cut announcement later.