Dollar Bolsters by Upbeat U.S. Economic Indicators

• The U.S. dollar reached a 2-year high on the back of strong economic indicators released yesterday.

• Safe-haven gold remains under strong downside pressure as lacking of a catalyst.

• Watch today's UK Retail Sales reading to gauge Sterling's strength.

Market Summary

Following the hawkish remarks from the Fed on Wednesday after the interest rate decision, the upbeat U.S. economic indicators released yesterday have further boosted the U.S. dollar, driving it to a two-year high and suggesting a bullish outlook for the greenback. Additionally, the U.S. long-term treasury yield is nearing the 4.6% level, which could also support the dollar.

In contrast, Wall Street remains under pressure as the market digests the Fed's upcoming monetary policy, with all three major indices staying near their recent lows, indicating strong downside pressure. Similarly, gold has faced pressure from the strengthening dollar and the hawkish Fed stance, trading firmly below the $2,600 level, signaling a bearish bias for the precious metal.

In the forex market, attention is on the UK's retail sales data, with expectations for a soft reading that could weigh on the Pound Sterling, potentially driving it lower against its peers. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen has found some support after the Bank of Japan's hawkish remarks following its interest rate decision.

Current rate hike bets on 29th January Fed interest rate decision:

Source: CME Fedwatch Tool

0 bps (93.6%) VS -25 bps (6.4%)

Market Movements

DOLLAR_INDX, H4

The U.S. Dollar extended its rally, approaching the next resistance level at 108.60, marking a two-year high. Supporting this strength, U.S. long-term Treasury yields climbed further, reaching 4.6%. Additionally, robust U.S. GDP growth and strong job data released yesterday amplified the bullish momentum for the greenback.

The Dollar Index remains bullish and has gained over 1.3% in 2 sessions. The RSI remain in the overbought zone while the MACD continues to surge, suggesting that the bullish momentum remains strong.

Resistance level: 108.60, 109.50

Support level: 107.60, 106.75

XAU/USD, H4

Gold remains under pressure from the strengthening U.S. Dollar, especially following yesterday's robust U.S. economic indicators, which highlighted the resilience of the U.S. economy. This has dampened demand for the safe-haven asset.

Gold, despite a technical rebound in the last session, remains trading in a downtrend trajectory and is hovering at its recent low levels. The RSI remains close to the oversold zone while the MACD is edging lower, suggesting that the bearish momentum remains strong.

Resistance level: 2612.50, 2656.00

Support level: 2556.00, 2485.65

GBP/USD，H4

The GBP/USD pair, after a technical rebound that filled the Fair Value Gap (FVG) from the previous session, continues to trade within its bearish trend, indicating a negative outlook for the pair. The Bank of England's dovish stance following the interest rate decision announced yesterday has further exerted downside pressure on the Pound Sterling, contributing to the pair's decline.

GBP/USD has traded to its 3-week low and has broken from its critical support level at the 1.2505 mark, suggesting a bearish bias for the pair. The RSI is breaking into the overbought zone while the MACD is diverging, suggesting that the bearish momentum is gaining.

Resistance level: 1.2620, 1.2700

Support level:1.2410, 1.2310