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The U.S. dollar index returned to the 103 mark; gold once plunged nearly $40 from its intraday high!

TOPONE Markets | 2024-08-16 10:48

Abstract:The monthly rate of retail sales in the United States in July was 1%, far exceeding expectations; the number of initial claims last week was slightly lower than expected, falling to the lowest level since July; traders cut their expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, and interest rate futures priced that the Federal Reserve would reduce the rate cut to 93 basis points this year. The probability of a 50 basis point rate cut in September fell to 27%. The data broke the expectation of a

Hot spot tracking

  • The monthly rate of retail sales in the United States in July was 1%, far exceeding expectations; the number of initial claims last week was slightly lower than expected, falling to the lowest level since July; traders cut their expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, and interest rate futures priced that the Federal Reserve would reduce the rate cut to 93 basis points this year. The probability of a 50 basis point rate cut in September fell to 27%. The data broke the expectation of a rate cut in the United States this year, which is bullish for the US dollar and US stocks.

  • Middle East situation-the parties to the Gaza ceasefire negotiations are still far apart, and the negotiations will continue on Friday. White House: Iran may launch an attack with little warning.

  • Japan reduced its holdings of US Treasuries by US$10.6 billion in June, while China increased its holdings by US$11.9 billion. The yen is accelerating its decoupling with the United States, which is bullish for the yen.

Product Hot Comment

  • Forex

    ProductYesterday's ChangeYesterday's CloseToday's Open
    EUR/USD▼-0.38%1.097071.09724
    GBP/USD▲0.18%1.28531.28549
    AUD/USD▲0.25%0.661280.66145
    USD/JPY▲1.38%149.285149.302
    GBP/CAD▲0.31%1.764351.76413
    NZD/CAD▼-0.17%0.821310.82199

    📝 Review:On Thursday, strong U.S. economic data led traders to cut their bets on the Federal Reserve's rate cuts. The dollar index rose strongly after the release of retail sales data, standing above the 103 mark. It finally closed up 0.439% at 103.05. U.S. Treasury yields jumped during the session, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield closing at 3.915%; the two-year Treasury yield closed at 4.101%.

    🕵️ Operation suggestion:

    USD/JPY 149.084  Buy  Target Price  151.961


  • Gold

    ProductYesterday's ChangeYesterday's CloseToday's Open
    Gold▲0.34%2456.282456.24
    Silver▲2.93%28.3428.327

    📝 Review:Affected by the strengthening of the U.S. dollar and U.S. bond yields, spot gold once fell nearly $40 from its intraday high. It then bottomed out and rebounded, eventually closing up 0.35% at $2,456.49 per ounce. Spot silver finally closed up 2.88% at $28.36 per ounce.

    🕵️ Operation suggestion:

    Gold 2459.68  Buy  Target Price  2476.54


  • Crude Oil

    ProductYesterday's ChangeYesterday's CloseToday's Open
    WTI Crude Oil▲1.12%76.88276.884
    Brent Crude Oil▲1.20%80.39380.378

    📝 Review:International oil prices rebounded as economic data eased concerns about a recession in the world's largest economy, supporting confidence in the outlook for crude oil demand. WTI crude oil eventually closed up 1.17% at $78.05 per barrel, while Brent crude oil closed up 1.18% at $80.92 per barrel.

    🕵️ Operation suggestion:

    WTI Crude Oil 76.796  Sell  Target Price  75.663


  • Indice

    ProductYesterday's ChangeYesterday's CloseToday's Open
    Nasdaq 100▲2.32%19464.2519489.65
    Dow Jones▲1.31%40549.840608.4
    S&P 500▲1.58%5538.355547.75

    ▼0.00%17559.317559.3
    US Dollar Index▲0.24%102.63102.8

    📝 Review:The three major U.S. stock indexes closed up collectively, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 1.3%, the S&P 500 up 1.6%, and the Nasdaq up 2.3%. Intel (INTC.O) rose 3.8%, Nvidia (NVDA.O) rose 4%, Tesla (TSLA.O) rose 6%, and Amazon (AMZN.O) rose 4%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index closed up 1.7%, Alibaba (BABA.N) rose slightly, JD.com (JD.O) rose more than 4%, and NIO (NIO.N) rose 3%.

    🕵️ Operation suggestion:

    Nasdaq 100 19503.950  Buy  Target Price  19712.277


  • Crypto

    ProductYesterday's ChangeYesterday's CloseToday's Open
    BitCoin▼-4.28%56386.257636.9
    Ethereum▼-5.06%2528.22571.3
    Dogecoin▼-3.46%0.098480.0991

    📝 Review:From the overall trend, the Bitcoin market is currently in a state of fierce competition between long and short sides, but no clear winner has been determined yet. As of the latest trading session, the Bitcoin price is still below 59,800 points. If the Bitcoin price starts to show an upward trend on the daily level, then 57,610 points may become a solid support point in the future that is difficult to break through easily.

    🕵️ Operation suggestion:

    BitCoin 57462.2  Sell  Target Price  54282.4

gold

Related broker

No Regulation
TOPONE Markets
Company name:TOP 1 MARKETS PTY LTD
Score
2.24
Website:http://www.top1markets.com
5-10 years | Suspicious Regulatory License | MT5 Full License | High potential risk
Score
2.24

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The U.S. dollar index and U.S. Treasury yields rebounded at the same time; gold fell by more than 1%!

The initial value of the US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI in August was 48, which was lower than expected and the lowest in 8 months; the service PMI was 55.2, which exceeded the expected 54. The number of initial jobless claims in the week ending August 17 was 232,000, slightly higher than expected, and the previous value was revised from 227,000 to 228,000. Existing home sales in July increased for the first time in five months. The PMI data was lower than expected, which was bad for the US eco

News 2024-08-23 11:29

Gold Price Stimulates by Geopolitical Tension

Gold prices experienced their largest gain in three weeks, driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East and the easing of the U.S. dollar as markets await the crucial CPI reading due on Wednesday. Gold has surged to an all-time high above $2,460, as uncertainties surrounding developments in both the Middle East and Eastern Europe persist push the demand for safe-haven assets higher.

News 2024-08-13 13:34

Types of gold: How to build a gold investment plan

As investors seek stability and diversification in their portfolios, especially in uncertain economic periods, gold stands out as one of the best options. How many types of gold exist? Before diving into golden investments, it's crucial to grasp the various forms that gold can take.

News 2024-06-28 15:08

GemForex - XAU/USD

All Eyes on key levels and US inflation

Review 2022-08-10 22:34

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