Abstract:In the realm of foreign exchange markets, the U.S. dollar exhibited a decline against a basket of major currencies, influenced by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's dovish remarks on potential rate cuts.
Date: 2024.03.08 MHM European Time Analysis
In the realm of foreign exchange markets, the U.S. dollar exhibited a decline against a basket of major currencies, influenced by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's dovish remarks on potential rate cuts. This sentiment led the dollar index to drop to 102.81. Notably, the EUR/USD pair saw a rise following the European Central Bank's decision to maintain its key interest rate at 4.00%, coupled with a reduction in its inflation forecast and a hint at possible rate cuts by June. Meanwhile, currencies like the GBP/USD and AUD/USD experienced gains, and the USD/JPY pair declined. Additionally, Bitcoin showed resilience, maintaining a position above $67,000 amidst these fluctuations.
The U.S. stock market continued its upward trajectory, marking its third consecutive session of gains, with the S&P 500 reaching a new high. This rally was supported by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's comments to the U.S. Senate about nearing rate cuts, which also led to a slight decrease in the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield. Sector-wise, communications, technology, and materials led the gains, with notable performances from companies like Nvidia and Meta Platforms. However, Victoria's Secret faced a steep decline after being downgraded. The anticipation of the U.S. official jobs report and data showing steady initial jobless claims underscored ongoing labor market strength, alongside gains in European stocks and a slight drop in U.S. WTI crude oil prices, with gold prices slightly increasing.
In Asia, the market responded to various economic indicators with USD/JPY showing little change, while household spending in Japan indicated a sharper decline than expected. The stability in major currency pairs such as EUR/USD and GBP/USD was evident, with gold prices experiencing a minor adjustment. Looking ahead, expectations are set for economic data releases across major economies, including GDP figures from the eurozone, industrial production and producer prices index from Germany, and France's trade deficit. In North America, attention is geared towards the U.S. nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate, alongside Canada's employment figures and anticipated changes in the jobless rate, highlighting a global focus on economic health and monetary policy directions.
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis | |
Resistance levels: | 2171.07; 2185.34 |
Support levels: | 2142.36; 2128.03 |
Crude Oil (USOUSD) Technical Analysis: | |
Resistance levels: | 80.46; 82.03 |
Support levels: | 79.50; 77.92 |
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: | |
Resistance levels: | 1.0947; 1.0985 |
Support levels: | 1.0884; 1.0822 |
GBP/USD Technical Analysis: | |
Resistance levels: | 1.2850; 1.2908 |
Support levels: | 1.2800; 1.2747 |
Fed Governor Christopher Waller's recent comments have highlighted a cautious stance towards adjusting interest rates, marking a significant moment for the financial markets.
In the forex market, stability was the theme for the U.S. dollar index, holding firm at 104.30. Minor fluctuations were observed across major currency pairs: the Euro slightly weakened against the dollar, closing at 1.0827
In the latest market wrap focusing on the foreign exchange sector, the U.S. dollar index showed minimal movement, holding at 104.31.
On Tuesday, due to February's US durable goods orders growth exceeding expectations and an optimistic economic growth outlook for the first quarter in the US, the US dollar index initially fell but then rose, briefly touching below the 104 mark before recovering during the US trading session, closing up 0.07% at 104.29.