Abstract:In the forex market, the U.S. dollar experienced a decline against major currencies following Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's announcement that interest rates would be lowered this year, with the dollar index dropping to 103.36.
Date: 2024.03.07 MHM European Time Analysis
In the forex market, the U.S. dollar experienced a decline against major currencies following Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's announcement that interest rates would be lowered this year, with the dollar index dropping to 103.36. This was accompanied by gains in several currency pairs; EUR/USD rose to 1.0894 buoyed by a slight increase in Eurozone retail sales, while GBP/USD and AUD/USD also saw increases. Notably, Germany's trade surplus expanded significantly, and despite a fall in Canada's Ivey PMI, the Bank of Canada held its key interest rate steady. Meanwhile, Bitcoin showcased volatility, retracting from a record high before making a robust recovery.
In stock and commodities markets, U.S. indices bounced back, with notable gains across the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq, recovering from the previous session's losses. This rebound was partly attributed to Powell's statement on rate cuts and a surprisingly strong U.S. private job report from ADP. Sector-wise, utilities, technology, and materials led the gains, while specific stocks like Nvidia, Box, and CrowdStrike made significant movements on the back of corporate news and earnings outlooks. European markets also ended on a positive note, and commodities like U.S. WTI crude oil and gold saw price movements, with gold reaching an all-time high.
The Asian session witnessed continued adjustments in currency valuations, with the AUD/USD marginally increasing and the USD/JPY further declining amidst positive economic data from Australia and China, and Japan reporting a notable rise in labor cash earnings. The stability in EUR/USD and GBP/USD, alongside a rebound in gold prices and a slight decrease in Bitcoin value, marked the session's trading dynamics. Looking ahead, the market anticipates decisions and data releases concerning key interest rates from the European Central Bank, Germany's factory orders, the U.K.'s Halifax house price index, and significant economic indicators from the U.S., including the trade deficit and jobless claims, with attention also on Powell's Senate testimony.
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis | |
Resistance levels: | 2171.07 |
Support levels: | 2142.36; 2128.03 |
Crude Oil (USOUSD) Technical Analysis: | |
Resistance levels: | 79.54; 80.46 |
Support levels: | 78.70; 77.92 |
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: | |
Resistance levels: | 1.0928; 1.0985 |
Support levels: | 1.0884; 1.0822 |
GBP/USD Technical Analysis: | |
Resistance levels: | 1.2747; 1.2780 |
Support levels: | 1.2716; 1.2682 |
Fed Governor Christopher Waller's recent comments have highlighted a cautious stance towards adjusting interest rates, marking a significant moment for the financial markets.
In the forex market, stability was the theme for the U.S. dollar index, holding firm at 104.30. Minor fluctuations were observed across major currency pairs: the Euro slightly weakened against the dollar, closing at 1.0827
In the latest market wrap focusing on the foreign exchange sector, the U.S. dollar index showed minimal movement, holding at 104.31.
On Tuesday, due to February's US durable goods orders growth exceeding expectations and an optimistic economic growth outlook for the first quarter in the US, the US dollar index initially fell but then rose, briefly touching below the 104 mark before recovering during the US trading session, closing up 0.07% at 104.29.