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Daily Market Insights - January 5, 2024

taurex | 2024-01-05 12:22

Abstract:Unveiling Market Trends and Forex Analysis

DAILY MARKET NEWSLETTER

January 5, 2024


MARKET WRAP


MARKET WRAP: STOCKS, BONDS, COMMODITIES

On Thursday, the Nasdaq 100 declined a further 86 points (-0.53%) to 16,282, extending its losing streak to a fifth session, the longest one since October 2022. The S&P 500 also closed 16 points lower (-0.34%) at 4,688, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average edged up 10 points (+0.03%) to 37,440.

  • The ADP jobs report showed that the U.S. economy added 164,000 private jobs in December (vs +99,000 expected).

  • The latest number of initial jobless claims declined to 202,000 (vs 225,000 expected).

Investors are expecting the U.S. official jobs report for December, to be released later today, to show a slower addition of non-farm payrolls of 150,000 and a higher jobless rate of 3.9%.

Meanwhile, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield gained 8.6 basis points to 3.993%.

  • Energy (-1.63%), retailing (-1.62%), and technology hardware & equipment (-1.15%) stock sectors lost the most during the session.

  • Microsoft (MSFT) declined 0.72%, Apple (AAPL) fell 1.23%, Alphabet (GOOGL) dropped 1.82%, and Amazon.com (AMZN) lost 2.63%.

  • Nvidia (NVDA) gained 0.90%, while ON Semiconductor (ON) slid 3.92% and NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) was down 3.85%.

  • Mobileye Global (MBLY) plunged 24.55%, as the self-driving system developer gave a lower-than-expected full-year revenue forecast.

  • Peloton Interactive (PTON) jumped 13.94%. The interactive fitness platform announced a collaboration with TikTok to offer personalized social contents.

European stocks closed higher, with the DAX 40 gaining 0.48%, the CAC 40 up 0.52%, and the FTSE 100 up 0.53%.

  • U.S. WTI crude-oil futures eased $0.31 to $72.39 a barrel.

  • Gold price added $2 to $2,043 an ounce.


MARKET WRAP: FOREX

The U.S. dollar index was little changed at 102.39.

  • EUR/USD climbed 25 pips to 1.0946. Inflation in Germany increased to 3.7% on year in December (as expected), and that in France also ticked up to 3.7% (vs 3.8% expected).

  • USD/JPY jumped 136 pips (+0.95%) to 144.65.

  • GBP/USD rose 18 pips to 1.2680, while AUD/USD dipped 25 pips to 0.6704.

  • USD/CHF added 11 pips (+0.13%) to 0.8501.

  • USD/CAD was little changed at 1.3350.

  • Bitcoin regained upward momentum, as it surpassed both $43,000 and $44,000 levels. Investors kept expecting approvals for Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to be announced within a few days.

Key Levels

Currency PairIntraday DirectionPivotPreferenceAlternative ScenarioComment
GBP/USDBullish1.2660Long positions above 1.2660 with targets at 1.2725 & 1.2750 in extension.Below 1.2660 look for further downside with 1.2635 & 1.2610 as targets.The RSI shows upside momentum.
USD/JPYBullish144.20Long positions above 144.20 with targets at 145.00 & 145.40 in extension.Below 144.20 look for further downside with 143.75 & 143.30 as targets.The break above 144.20 is a positive signal that has opened a path to 145.00.
EUR/USDBullish1.0930Long positions above 1.0930 with targets at 1.0970 & 1.0990 in extension.Below 1.0930 look for further downside with 1.0910 & 1.0890 as targets.A support base at 1.0930 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilization.
Dow Jones (CME)Bearish37840.00Short positions below 37840.00 with targets at 37660.00 & 37580.00 in extension.Above 37840.00 look for further upside with 37970.00 & 38070.00 as targets.The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50%.

Please note that due to market volatility, some of the key levels may have already been reached and scenarios played out.

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