Abstract:On Thursday, March 9, international gold prices fluctuated narrowly. Investors are staying on the sidelines ahead of the release of U.S. employment data, which could influence the path of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Gold prices below the $1,800 mark will trigger a new potential downtrend.
Market Overview
On Thursday, March 9, international gold prices fluctuated narrowly. Investors are staying on the sidelines ahead of the release of U.S. employment data, which could influence the path of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Gold prices below the $1,800 mark will trigger a new potential downtrend.
U.S. crude oil is narrowly oscillating and currently trading near $76.68 per barrel. Although EIA crude oil inventories fell, gasoline stocks fell less than expected; and the relatively strong dollar index after Fed Chairman Powell's speech and concerns that further Fed rate hikes could trigger a recession also weighed on oil prices. Because of concerns that Russia's oil production capacity may exceed expectations, prominent investment banks lowered their oil price forecasts, also dampening the morale of the bulls. In the short term, oil prices are still at risk of further downside.
This trading day, please pay attention to the U.S. Challenger Job Cuts for February and the U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending March 4.
Mohicans Markets strategy is only for reference and not for investment advice. Please carefully read the statement at the end of the text. The following strategy will be updated at 15:00 on March 9, 2023, Beijing time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 1801-1817-1833-1856-1873
Overall Oscillation Range: 1730-1756-1780-1801-1817-1833-1856-1873-1889-1903-1911-1929-1937-1951-1978-1985
In the subsequent period of spot gold, 1801-1817-1833-1856-1873 can be operated as the bull and bear range; High throw low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on March 9. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 20.1-20.6-21.5-22.3
Overall Oscillation Range: 19.7-20.1--20.6-21.5-22.3-23.1-23.9-24.5-25.3-26.1
In the subsequent period of spot silver, 20.1-20.6-21.5-22.3 can be operated as the bull and bear range. High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on March 9. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range:75.1-77.9-78.5-79.9-80.7-82.3
Overall Oscillation Range: 70.1-71.2-72.3-73.1-73.8-75.1-77.9-78.5-79.9-80.7-82.3-83.5-85.3
In the subsequent period of US crude oil, 75.1-77.9-78.5-79.9-80.7-82.3 can be operated as the bull and bear range. High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on March 9. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 1.0460-1.0570-1.0690-1.0755-1.0830
Overall Oscillation Range: 1.0290-1.0360-1.0460-1.0570-1.0690-1.0755-1.0830-1.0950-1.1157-1.1220-1.1303
In the subsequent period of EURUSD, 1.0460-1.0570-1.0690-1.0755-1.0830 can be operated as the bull and bear range. High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on March 9. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 1.1610-1.1830-1.1920-1.2030
Overall Oscillation Range: 1.1610-1.1830-1.1920-1.2030-1.2135-1.2250-1.2375-1.2400-1.2470-1.2550
In the subsequent period of GBPUSD, 1.1610-1.1830-1.1920-1.2030 can be operated as the bull and bear range. High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on March 9. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Spot gold weakened slightly during the Asian session on Thursday (April 6), hitting a two-day low of $2007.89 per ounce and now trading near $2014.15. A series of weak economic data has fueled fears of an impending recession in the US, giving safe-haven support to the dollar. And some dollar shorts took profits, and gold bulls also took profits ahead of Good Friday and the non-farm payrolls data, putting pressure on gold prices.
On Wednesday, as the less-than-expected March "ADP" data and non-manufacturing PMI data fueled market concerns about an economic slowdown and spurred bets that the Federal Reserve could slow interest rate hikes. Spot gold continued to brush a new high since March last year, which was the highest intraday to $2032.13 per ounce, and then retracted most of the day's gains, finally closing up 0.01% at $2020.82 per ounce; spot silver hovered around $25 during the day, finally closing down 0.21% at $2
Spot gold oscillated slightly lower during the Asian session on Tuesday (April 4) and is currently trading around $1980.13 per ounce. The dollar index rebounded mildly after a big drop overnight, putting pressure on gold prices. However, this week will see the non-farm payrolls report, there is no important economic data out on Tuesday, and the market wait-and-see sentiment is getting stronger.
On Monday, in OPEC + members unexpectedly cut production reignited market concerns about long-term inflation and sparked uncertainty about the Fed's response, the dollar index once up to the 103 mark, and then on a "vertical roller coaster", giving back all the gains of the day and once lost 102 mark, finally closed down 0.53% at 102.04; U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rose and then fell, as data showed that the U.S. economy continues to slow, it fell sharply in the U.S. session, and once to a low