Abstract:During the Asian session on January 31, the spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $1922. Spot gold closed down 0.28% at US $1923.06 on Monday. The price of gold has risen 17.7% in the past three months and has risen more than 5% since 2023. Although hedge funds increased their bullish bets on gold, analysts warned that the Fed's interest rate decision this week was very important to the gold price trend.
Market Overview
During the Asian session on January 31, the spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $1922. Spot gold closed down 0.28% at US $1923.06 on Monday. The price of gold has risen 17.7% in the past three months and has risen more than 5% since 2023. Although hedge funds increased their bullish bets on gold, analysts warned that the Fed's interest rate decision this week was very important to the gold price trend. If Powell releases hawkish signals, the price of gold will probably fall back.
U.S. oil was trading near US $77.92 per barrel; Oil prices continued their decline on Monday, falling by more than 2%, as the main central banks were about to raise interest rates, which would hit demand, and Russian exports remained strong.
During the day, the focus was on the consumer confidence index of the American Chamber of Commerce in January and the PMI of Chicago in January.
The Mohicans Markets strategy is for reference only and not for investment advice. Please read the statement clauses at the end of the text carefully. The following strategy was updated at 15:00 Beijing time on January 31, 2023.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 1903-1911-1929-1937-1951
Overall Oscillation Range: 1730-1756-1780-1801-1817-1833-1856-1883-1903-1911-1929-1937-1951-1977
In the subsequent period of spot gold, 1903-1911-1929-1937-1951 can be operated as the bull and bear range; High throw low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on January 31. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 22.3-23.1-23.9-24.5-25.3
Overall Oscillation Range: 20.6-21.5-22.3-23.1-23.9-24.5-25.3-26.1
In the subsequent period of spot silver, 22.3-23.1-23.9-24.5-25.3 can be operated as the bull and bear range; High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on January 31. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 75.1-77.9-78.5-79.9-80.70
Overall Oscillation Range: 70.1-71.2-72.3-73.1-73.8-75.1-77.3-78.5-79.9-80.7-82.3-83.5-85.3
In the subsequent period of US crude oil, 75.1-77.9-78.5-79.9-80.70 can be operated as the bull and bear range; High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on January 31. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 1.0690-1.0755-1.0830-1.0950
Overall Oscillation Range: 1.0290-1.0360-1.0460-1.0570-1.0690-1.0755-1.0830-1.0950-1.1060
In the subsequent period of EURUSD, 1.0690-1.0755-1.0830-1.0950 can be operated as the bull and bear range; High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on January 31. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Intraday Oscillation Range: 1.2030-1.2135-1.2250-1.2375-1.2400-1.2470
Overall Oscillation Range: 1.1610-1.1830-1.1920-1.2030-1.2135-1.2250-1.2375-1.2400-1.2470-1.2550
In the subsequent period of GBPUSD, 1.2030-1.2135-1.2250-1.2375-1.2400-1.2470 can be operated as the bull and bear range; High throw and low suction in the range, chase up and kill down outside the range!
Note: The above strategy was updated at 15:00 on January 31. This policy is a daytime policy. Please pay attention to the policy release time.
Spot gold weakened slightly during the Asian session on Thursday (April 6), hitting a two-day low of $2007.89 per ounce and now trading near $2014.15. A series of weak economic data has fueled fears of an impending recession in the US, giving safe-haven support to the dollar. And some dollar shorts took profits, and gold bulls also took profits ahead of Good Friday and the non-farm payrolls data, putting pressure on gold prices.
On Wednesday, as the less-than-expected March "ADP" data and non-manufacturing PMI data fueled market concerns about an economic slowdown and spurred bets that the Federal Reserve could slow interest rate hikes. Spot gold continued to brush a new high since March last year, which was the highest intraday to $2032.13 per ounce, and then retracted most of the day's gains, finally closing up 0.01% at $2020.82 per ounce; spot silver hovered around $25 during the day, finally closing down 0.21% at $2
Spot gold oscillated slightly lower during the Asian session on Tuesday (April 4) and is currently trading around $1980.13 per ounce. The dollar index rebounded mildly after a big drop overnight, putting pressure on gold prices. However, this week will see the non-farm payrolls report, there is no important economic data out on Tuesday, and the market wait-and-see sentiment is getting stronger.
On Monday, in OPEC + members unexpectedly cut production reignited market concerns about long-term inflation and sparked uncertainty about the Fed's response, the dollar index once up to the 103 mark, and then on a "vertical roller coaster", giving back all the gains of the day and once lost 102 mark, finally closed down 0.53% at 102.04; U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rose and then fell, as data showed that the U.S. economy continues to slow, it fell sharply in the U.S. session, and once to a low