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Understanding about Mean Reversion Theory in Trading and It’s Calculation

SalmaMarkets | 2022-09-02 01:09

Abstract:Prices usually move up and down around the average level.

Mean reversion theory is an aspect that you need to understand before trading. It is a system in the financial world which states that after the price of an asset moves to an extreme, then it will return to its normal level or average value. 

Prices usually move up and down around the average level. They also tend to revert to the same average value over time. Actually, it doesnt happen only in a financial aspect. 

You can also apply it in volatility, income, or companys profit. Besides that, it is also diorama for the growth level, income, or technical indicator level. 

In essence, they trade by betting that extreme levels (volatility, price, growth or indicators) will return to the average price. Read the details before to understand more about it. 


Mean Reversion Theory Calculation

To understand it, you need to calculate the middle value (mean). The middle value is the average price against all data in a given period. There is a sign to calculate that. 

On the price chart of an asset, the middle value can be known by entering the Simple Moving Average (SMA) indicator. The Simple Moving Average calculates the average price of the incoming data. 

As time goes by, the value tends to go up and down. It keeps doing that around the average level or SMA, and will eventually return to the Middle price. It is the point of Mean reversion theory. 

Traders use metric units as diverse as the distance to the SMA line. The aim is to determine when the price can return to the middle position in a market. 

The Types of Mean Reversion

Based on several sources, this strategy has some types which you can choose. Here are the further lists to note, so check this out. 

1.Pairs Trading

This mean reversion theory type looks for two assets with a very high correlation. The prices of these things tend to move together. When one moves differently, the other is down while the other is not

This indicates the trading potential of Mean Reversion. This term is also commonly referred to as statistical artibrase in a market. 

For example, EUR/USD and GBP/USD often move in the same direction. At one point the EUR/USD chart (candlestick chart) went down while the GBP/USD (red line) went up. 

If we rely on the previous movements that moved simultaneously, then these two pairs will eventually move in the same direction again. One thing must be noted in this mean reversion theory. 

There is a possibility that those two will not move together again. You need to consider about the hedging ratio as well which is based on how bug those assets movement is. 

2.Intraday

It is done by taking sell and buy position from many assets in one day. The characteristic is that there is no even a single position which stay over night. 

It means that traders can sell and buy around that point in that day. When the price in this intraday mean reversion theory is upward, value will raise too above the average. 

This type is suitable if price is in a strong trend. When you combine it with moving average, that will be a great technique which is really accurate to use. 

Do this with the Best Forex Broker

If you want to choose this technique, try to join the best broker in the market. The option is Salmamarket forex broker which has many features which has a high quality and really complete. 

Those are like the latest technologies, modern features, and great services. You can access all the markets in a quick speed from a smart phone or PC. 

It is also supported by the professionals people and you can start even from a small capital. So, join Salmamarket right now to make your mean reversion theory works really well.

Understanding about Mean Reversion Theory in Trading and It’s Calculation

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