2024-09-23 03:30
业内Cognitive Bias and Trading
Cognitive Biases in Trading
Cognitive dissonance, confirmation bias, and other biases can harm trading careers. These biases include:
1. Cognitive dissonance: Conflict between actions and beliefs.
2. Confirmation bias: Ignoring contradictory information.
3. Illusory superiority: Overestimating one's abilities.
4. Dunning-Kruger effect: Underestimating complexity.
5. Heuristic thought: Creating patterns without evidence.
Consequences:
1. Unwillingness to accept mistakes.
2. Justifying losses.
3. Becoming a troll.
4. Failing to adopt a scientific approach.
Overcoming Biases:
1. Acknowledge errors and limitations.
2. Apply a scientific approach.
3. Focus on money management.
4. Conduct thorough backtesting.
5. Rely on actual results.
Key Takeaways:
1. Recognize cognitive biases.
2. Avoid emotional decision-making.
3. Embrace objectivity.
4. Continuously learn and improve.
5. Prioritize sound trading practices.
The author emphasizes the importance of self-awareness, objectivity, and a scientific approach to overcome cognitive biases and achieve success in trading.
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Cognitive Bias and Trading
| 2024-09-23 03:30
Cognitive Biases in Trading
Cognitive dissonance, confirmation bias, and other biases can harm trading careers. These biases include:
1. Cognitive dissonance: Conflict between actions and beliefs.
2. Confirmation bias: Ignoring contradictory information.
3. Illusory superiority: Overestimating one's abilities.
4. Dunning-Kruger effect: Underestimating complexity.
5. Heuristic thought: Creating patterns without evidence.
Consequences:
1. Unwillingness to accept mistakes.
2. Justifying losses.
3. Becoming a troll.
4. Failing to adopt a scientific approach.
Overcoming Biases:
1. Acknowledge errors and limitations.
2. Apply a scientific approach.
3. Focus on money management.
4. Conduct thorough backtesting.
5. Rely on actual results.
Key Takeaways:
1. Recognize cognitive biases.
2. Avoid emotional decision-making.
3. Embrace objectivity.
4. Continuously learn and improve.
5. Prioritize sound trading practices.
The author emphasizes the importance of self-awareness, objectivity, and a scientific approach to overcome cognitive biases and achieve success in trading.
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