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Highly significant economic reports are set to shape the global markets in the approaching week. All eyes are on the forthcoming rate decisions from the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of Japan. The suspense is further heightened by the key inflation data from the US, Europe, and Australia, capturing the interest of traders.
On Monday stock markets in Europe were lower, as investors digested disappointing PMI data from Germany and more quarterly corporate earnings while waiting for the outcomes of central bank meetings, including the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve.
June, saw divergent economic outlooks. Initially, the US dollar was under pressure as many believed the Federal Reserve had completed its last rate hike for this cycle. However, this perception changed following the release of robust US economic data and hawkish projections in the FOMC dot-plot.
EUR/NZD declined on Monday after PMI data showed euro zone business activity shrank much more than expected in July. • A survey showed the downturn in euro zone business activity deepened much more than expected in July as demand in the bloc's dominant services industry declined and factory output fell. • EUR/A NZD chart has taken a turn for the worse after todays drop.Overall risk growing for a bigger drop towards 1.7750.
The Euro is currently facing strain due to constant economic indicators reflecting the enduring strength of the U.S. economy. This is in stark comparison to the economies teetering on the brink of recession, including the Eurozone. The preliminary balance for this week is being determined in anticipation of the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday, with subsequent analysis tending towards a bearish bias.
Last week, the US Treasury yield curve, a reliable indicator of recession, experienced its steepest inversion since 1981. This coincided with one of the most severe downturns in Bloomberg’s US Economic Surprise Index in recent memory.
WCG Markets:2023-07-25
On Monday's mixed US economic data, with the manufacturing PMI showing strength and the services PMI falling to hit a five-month low along with the composite PMI, as well as lingering concerns about sticky inflation, the dollar index continued to rise, closing up 0.31% at 101.4.
Spot gold traded in a narrow range on Monday (July 24) in Asia, currently trading at $1960.55 per ounce. The market is in a wait-and-see mood ahead of the Federal Reserve interest rate decision, but investors need to focus on PMI data for June from European and US countries due on Monday.
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The dollar index continued to rally on Friday, closing up 0.32% at 101.1, as markets await Thursday's Fed rate decision and are still looking for clues on whether this week's near-certain rate hike will be the last in the tightening cycle.
WCG Markets:2023-07-24
On Friday (July 21), spot gold narrow range shock during the Asian session, and is currently trading in the vicinity of $1969.84 per ounce. There were no important economic data and risk events during the day, the market trading is relatively cautious, most investors have begun to wait for next week's Fed interest rate resolution.
The number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time announced last night did not increase, but decreased, indicating that the labor market is still flexible and may support the Federal Reserve to continue to raise interest rates this year.
Some market analysts have noted a breakout on copper's daily chart. As this metal is a phenomenal indicator of booms and busts, let's have a closer look.
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USD edged off its lows with last week’s sell-off due some sort of rebound. But the DXY is still not able to bounce much above 100 so far. The February low at 100.82 should be strong resistance above here. Support sits at recent lows around 99.57/8. The yuan is pressuring USD this morning after a much firmer-than-expected reference rate by the PBoC.