Abstract:Global equities began the new week with optimism as sentiment improved on the latest Brexit news and US retail sales data beat. This countered the
Asia Pacific Market Open Talking Point
Brexit news fuels British Pound rally as US Dollar dro
Volatility extended to equities after US retail sales beat
APAC equities may rise in the interim as Yen depreciate
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Key FX Developments Monday
The latest Brexit developments boosted the British Pound on Monday and as markets transitioned into Tuesday‘s trading session. What began with Germany’s Chancellor, Angela Merkel, saying that the European Union made a ‘very important’ offer to the UK ended with Theresa May‘s Deputy noting that the government had secured ’important changes to her divorce deal.
Volatility was not just limited to FX where Sterling is expected to be the most active. The S&P 500 soared 1.47% in a day where US retail sales, which previously significantly disappointed, beat expectations. This supported the notion that perhaps the worlds largest economy, which is primarily driven by consumption, could avoid following the trend of slowing global growth.
By the end of the day, local front-end government bond yields rallied as dovish Fed policy bets were cooled. But, the US Dollar sunk as demand for safe havens waned. It may have been further pressured by weakness from the British Pound. The anti-risk Japanese Yen declined alongside the Swiss Franc while the sentiment-oriented Australian and New Zealand Dollars outperformed.
Tuesdays Asia Pacific Trading Sessio
As Tuesdays Asia Pacific trading session got underway, S&P 500 and Nikkei 225 futures rose with the Brexit developments. This may lead to another rosy session for Japanese indexes despite technical cues that global equities could be at risk. In the interim, this may add fuel to AUD/USD and NZD/USD while the Japanese Yen falls behind.
Nikkei 225 FuturesTechnical Analysi
Using futures to show after-hours trading, the Nikkei 225 bounced on a prominent support level after experiencing its longest daily losing streak since December. This area combines former support (from October) at 20973 along with a pair of rising trend lines from the end of last year.
Time has once again shown that this area remains a stubborn psychological barrier to breach for bears. Confirming a second close to the upside may precede another test of resistance at 21890.
Nikkei 225 Futures Daily Chart
Chart Created in TradingView
US Trading Session Economic Event
Asia Pacific Trading Session Economic Event
** All times listed in GMT. See the full economic calendar here
July's strong US retail sales and declining jobless claims highlight the resilience of the US economy despite easing inflation pressures. Meanwhile, the UK saw a surprising drop in unemployment but slower wage growth, and the Eurozone experienced its sixth consecutive quarter of productivity decline. China's sharp drop in foreign direct investment reflects growing concerns over its economic outlook. Globally, economic dynamics are complex, with the US remaining strong
Global markets are navigating through significant shifts. China intervenes in the bond market to curb speculation, while Japan's Nikkei rebounds after historic losses. Elon Musk's increasing political involvement and General Motors' strategic shifts in China reflect broader economic and geopolitical trends. Rising tensions in the Middle East and U.S. labor market volatility add further complexity, influencing global currencies and stock movements.
Global Market Insights: Key Economic Events and Their Impact
BRITISH POUND, GBP/USD, EUR/GBP - TALKING POINTS