业内

AUD/JPY RETAKES 99.00 Mark and Beyond.

AUD/JPY steadily moves back closer to a multi-week high touched on Wednesday. The RBA’s hawkish stance and a positive risk tone continue to benefit the Aussie. Bets for another BoJ rate hike in 2024 should limit the JPY losses and cap the cross. The AUD/JPY cross attracts some dip-buying during the Asian session on Thursday and jumps back above the 99.00 mark in the last hour, though remains below over a three-week top touched the previous day.  The Australian Dollar (AUD) continues to draw support from a more hawkish stance adopted by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). In fact, the Australian central bank reiterated on Tuesday that policy will need to be restrictive until confidence returns that inflation is moving sustainably towards the target range. Adding to this, RBA Governor Michele Bullock stated that the recent data has not significantly influenced the policy outlook.  Moreover, the latest consumer inflation figures released on Wednesday showed that the core CPI remains above the RBA's 2-3% target band and is not enough to justify rate cuts in the near term. Meanwhile, the RBA's semi-annual Financial Stability Review (FSR) revealed that the risk of widespread financial stress remains limited. Furthermore, a positive risk tone undermines the safe-haven Japanese Yen (JPY) and benefits the risk-sensitive Aussie.  That said, growing acceptance that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will hike interest rates again by the end of this year should help limit deeper JPY losses and keep a lid on the AUD/JPY cross. The bets were reaffirmed by the BoJ meeting minutes released earlier today, which showed that board members shared a view over the need for vigilance to the risk of inflation overshoot and that it was appropriate to adjust the degree of monetary support moderately. Even from a technical perspective, the formation of a 'Death Cross' on the daily chart – with the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossing below the very important 200-day SMA – warrants some caution for bullish traders. Hence, any subsequent move up is more likely to confront stiff resistance and remain capped near the 100.00 psychological mark, or the 200-day SMA, which should now act as a key pivotal point for the AUD/JPY cross.

2024-09-26 11:07

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业内AUD/JPY RETAKES 99.00 Mark and Beyond.

AUD/JPY steadily moves back closer to a multi-week high touched on Wednesday. The RBA’s hawkish stance and a positive risk tone continue to benefit the Aussie. Bets for another BoJ rate hike in 2024 should limit the JPY losses and cap the cross. The AUD/JPY cross attracts some dip-buying during the Asian session on Thursday and jumps back above the 99.00 mark in the last hour, though remains below over a three-week top touched the previous day.  The Australian Dollar (AUD) continues to draw support from a more hawkish stance adopted by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). In fact, the Australian central bank reiterated on Tuesday that policy will need to be restrictive until confidence returns that inflation is moving sustainably towards the target range. Adding to this, RBA Governor Michele Bullock stated that the recent data has not significantly influenced the policy outlook.  Moreover, the latest consumer inflation figures released on Wednesday showed that the core CPI remains above the RBA's 2-3% target band and is not enough to justify rate cuts in the near term. Meanwhile, the RBA's semi-annual Financial Stability Review (FSR) revealed that the risk of widespread financial stress remains limited. Furthermore, a positive risk tone undermines the safe-haven Japanese Yen (JPY) and benefits the risk-sensitive Aussie.  That said, growing acceptance that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will hike interest rates again by the end of this year should help limit deeper JPY losses and keep a lid on the AUD/JPY cross. The bets were reaffirmed by the BoJ meeting minutes released earlier today, which showed that board members shared a view over the need for vigilance to the risk of inflation overshoot and that it was appropriate to adjust the degree of monetary support moderately. Even from a technical perspective, the formation of a 'Death Cross' on the daily chart – with the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossing below the very important 200-day SMA – warrants some caution for bullish traders. Hence, any subsequent move up is more likely to confront stiff resistance and remain capped near the 100.00 psychological mark, or the 200-day SMA, which should now act as a key pivotal point for the AUD/JPY cross.

ALKALI1010

2024-09-26 11:07

业内(AUD) RECEIVES SUPPORT FROM DIVERGENT POLICY

The Australian Dollar gains ground as the RBA and Fed adopt different policy outlooks. The Reserve Bank of Australia is highly expected to keep interest rates unchanged in the near future. The US Federal Reserve may deliver more rate cuts by the end of this year. The Australian Dollar (AUD) retraces its recent losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday. The AUD/USD pair receives support from the divergent monetary policy outlooks between the two central banks. Additionally, the commodity-linked Aussie Dollar found support as China, its largest trading partner, announced a new round of stimulus measures to boost its economy. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) held the Official Cash Rate (OCR) steady at 4.35% on Tuesday, offering support to the Australian Dollar and bolstering the AUD/USD pair. Additionally, RBA Governor Michele Bullock confirmed that rates will remain on hold for now. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) lowered the federal funds rate to a range of 4.75% to 5.0% by delivering a bumper 50 basis point rate cut, marking the Fed’s first rate cut in over four years. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets are pricing in around 50% chance of 75 basis points to be deducted by the Fed to a range of 4.0-4.25% by the end of this year.

ALKALI1010

2024-09-26 10:42

业内As forex investors, what we need to know (9.26)

1. Trump will return to the site of the attempted assassination on October 5th and hold a campaign rally. 2. The US Senate has received enough votes to pass the interim government appropriations bill, avoiding the crisis of a government shutdown at the end of this month. It is expected that US President Biden will sign the bill later. 3. Federal Reserve Governor Kugler stated that if inflation progresses as expected, it will support further interest rate cuts in the future. 4. The Israeli Defense Forces announced that the commander of the Israeli Northern Command, Goldin, stated that the war has entered another stage and the Israeli army needs to be "fully prepared" to launch a ground attack on Hezbollah in Lebanon. 5. PayPal allows the establishment of commercial accounts for the purchase, holding, and sale of cryptocurrencies. 6. The Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) usage scale on Wednesday was $416.193 billion.

别具汇眼

2024-09-26 10:12

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